May 13, 2024 - LBTSF
Buried deep within Almirall's Q4 2023 earnings call transcript lies a seemingly mundane detail with potentially game-changing implications. While analysts obsess over Ebglyss launch metrics and Ilumetri's trajectory towards €250 million peak sales, a critical piece of the puzzle has been largely overlooked: a double-digit salary increase for Almirall's Spanish workforce.
This mandatory CPI catch-up clause, impacting the majority of Spain-based employees, carries an estimated €8 million impact on the 2024 P&L. On the surface, this appears to be a simple cost increase, potentially even a headwind to profitability. However, a deeper dive reveals this mandated salary bump could be the hidden engine propelling Almirall's ambitious biologic growth plans.
Almirall's stated goal is to achieve a combined €700 million in peak sales for Ilumetri (psoriasis) and Ebglyss (atopic dermatitis) by 2030. This requires not only successful product launches and market penetration but also a robust and highly motivated workforce, especially within the commercial teams responsible for driving those sales.
Talent Retention and Acquisition: The pharmaceutical industry is notoriously competitive when it comes to attracting and retaining top talent. By offering a significant salary increase, Almirall becomes a more desirable employer, particularly for skilled commercial professionals crucial for launching and promoting biologics like Ebglyss.
Boosting Morale and Productivity: A substantial pay raise, especially one tied to cost-of-living adjustments, can have a significant positive impact on employee morale and motivation. This translates to increased productivity, a critical factor in a sales-driven organization. Highly motivated sales teams are more likely to exceed targets and effectively penetrate new markets, accelerating Ebglyss's uptake.
Strategic Investment: Almirall's leadership views this salary increase not as a cost burden but a strategic investment. They are willing to absorb the short-term P&L impact to equip their Spanish workforce, a core component of their European operations, with the tools and motivation to execute the ambitious biologic growth plan.
Let's consider the potential numbers. Almirall aims to multiply its atopic dermatitis and psoriasis sales by fourfold from 2023 levels, reaching €700 million by 2030. Assuming a conservative estimate of €150 million in combined sales for these indications in 2023, this equates to an additional €550 million in sales by 2030.
Now, let's hypothesize that the improved talent retention and increased productivity resulting from the Spanish salary increase contribute to a 5% acceleration in Ebglyss's uptake. This could potentially translate to an extra €27.5 million (€550 million x 5%) in peak sales by 2030, more than triple the €8 million salary impact in 2024 alone.
Reference: [Almirall Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript - Seeking Alpha](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4894598-almirall-s-a-lbtsf-ceo-carlos-gallardo-on-q1-2024-results-earnings-call-transcript)
Reference: [Almirall Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript - Seeking Alpha](https://seekingalpha.com/article/4878303-almirall-s-a-lbtsf-ceo-carlos-gallardo-on-q4-2023-results-earnings-call-transcript)
While this is a simplified calculation, it illustrates the potential leverage that investing in employee compensation can have on long-term growth. Almirall's decision to proactively address its Spanish workforce's salary expectations could prove to be a masterstroke, a hidden weapon that unlocks explosive biologic growth and cements its position as a leader in medical dermatology.
"Fun Fact: Almirall's headquarters is located in [Barcelona, Spain](https://www.barcelona.cat/en/), a city renowned for its vibrant culture, stunning architecture, and a thriving pharmaceutical industry. The company's deep roots in Spain are a testament to its commitment to its home country and its skilled workforce."