May 9, 2024 - AMPL

Amplitude's Quiet Revolution: Is a Sleeping Giant About to Awaken?

Buried deep within Amplitude's Q1 2024 earnings call transcript (Q1 2024 Transcript), a subtle shift in strategy is taking place, one that seems to have escaped the notice of most analysts. The company, known for its powerful digital analytics platform, is quietly orchestrating a two-pronged attack on the market: a relentless push into the enterprise space coupled with a strategic embrace of product-led growth at the lower end. This dual approach, while appearing conservative on the surface, hints at a carefully calculated maneuver that could unleash a wave of accelerated growth in the near future.

Amplitude's journey hasn't been without its challenges. The pandemic, while initially a tailwind, created a surge in spending followed by a period of aggressive rightsizing as customers adjusted to a new reality. This resulted in elevated churn rates, impacting the company's overall growth trajectory. However, Amplitude didn't simply weather the storm; they used it as an opportunity to reassess and refine their strategy.

The first prong of their attack is a laser focus on winning the enterprise. They've adopted a named-account approach, halving the number of target accounts while simultaneously increasing the targeted high-potential account dollars by 50%. This is a clear sign of Amplitude's commitment to chasing bigger fish and engaging in strategic, value-driven conversations at the VP and C-level.

The company is also emphasizing professional services, recognizing the critical role they play in driving successful deployments and fostering expansion within large organizations. The increased utilization of Amplitude's platform by these enterprise customers, while slightly impacting gross margins in the short term, signifies a deepening engagement that bodes well for future growth.

The second prong, perhaps less obvious but equally significant, is Amplitude's embrace of product-led growth (PLG) at the lower end of the market. The launch of their self-serve offering, Amplitude Plus, has been a resounding success. It's not just attracting the expected startups and B2B SaaS players but also a surprising range of customers from diverse industries like railroads, universities, and semiconductor companies. This broad appeal speaks volumes about Amplitude's ability to simplify its platform and make its power accessible to a wider audience.

The brilliance of this PLG strategy lies in its dual impact. Firstly, it allows Amplitude to scale its reach in a cost-effective manner, capturing a larger share of the lower end of the market. Secondly, and perhaps more importantly, it acts as a breeding ground for future enterprise customers. As these Plus users grow and mature, Amplitude is perfectly positioned to convert them into larger, annual contracted clients. It's a long game, but one with potentially massive payoffs.

The numbers tell an intriguing story. While churn remains elevated due to multiyear contracts resetting after the pandemic boom, it's worth noting that customers who have gone through a single optimization cycle are now renewing at flat or growing rates. This suggests that the churn is primarily a one-time adjustment and not a reflection of fundamental dissatisfaction with Amplitude's platform.

Moreover, the customer cohorts acquired in 2023 and beyond are demonstrating significantly stronger retention patterns, reminiscent of the company's pre-pandemic dynamics. This is a crucial indicator of a healthy, sustainable growth engine taking shape.

But there's more. The percentage of customers using more than one Amplitude product has increased from 14% to 19% year-over-year (Q1 2024 Transcript), and those multi-product customers exhibit better retention. This is no accident. Amplitude's platform approach, with its integrated suite of analytics, experiment, CDP, and now Session Replay, provides a compelling alternative to the fragmented landscape of point solutions.

As companies increasingly seek a unified, end-to-end solution for their digital analytics needs, Amplitude's platform value proposition becomes even more potent. This trend is reflected in the company's Q4 performance, which saw the largest quarter for new enterprise logo wins in its history (Q4 2023 Transcript).

Amplitude is not content with simply stabilizing its business; they are laying the groundwork for a significant growth acceleration. They are playing the long game, investing in key areas like product innovation, platform expansion, and a differentiated go-to-market strategy. The focus is on building a robust, sustainable business that can capitalize on the immense opportunity ahead.

It's tempting to focus solely on the headline growth figures, but a deeper dive into the transcript reveals a company in the midst of a quiet revolution. Amplitude is executing with a clear vision, building momentum, and quietly positioning itself to become the undisputed leader in the digital analytics space. The sleeping giant may be about to awaken.

Hypothesized Growth from Amplitude Plus Conversions

Assuming a conservative conversion rate of 5% of Plus users to annual contracts, with an average contract value of $30,000, and considering the current growth rate of Plus sign-ups, this could add tens of millions of dollars in ARR within the next two years. The below chart illustrates this potential impact, with the blue bars representing existing ARR and the orange bars representing potential added ARR from Plus conversions.

"Multi-Product Adoption: A Key to Retention As the percentage of customers using more than one Amplitude product increases, the churn rate should decrease, potentially pushing the Net Revenue Retention (NRR) back above 110% in the long term."
"Amplitude Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL) Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call May 9, 2024 Full Transcript Available Here: Seeking Alpha"
"Amplitude Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript Amplitude, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMPL) Q4 2023 Earnings Conference Call February 20, 2024 Full Transcript Available Here: Seeking Alpha"
"Fun Fact Amplitude's platform is used by some of the most innovative companies in the world, including Peloton, Ford, and NBCUniversal. Their technology helps these companies understand user behavior and optimize their digital products and experiences, ultimately driving engagement and revenue growth."