May 9, 2024 - ARGX

Argenx's Quiet Revolution: Is This the End of IVIg for CIDP?

The air crackled with anticipation during Argenx's Q1 2024 earnings call (Seeking Alpha transcript). A new pre-filled syringe for VYVGART, soaring revenue, and the looming FDA decision on Chronic Inflammatory Demyelinating Polyneuropathy (CIDP) had investors on the edge of their seats. Yet, amidst the buzz about Hytrulo's uptake and market expansion, a seismic shift slipped past the radar – one with potentially far-reaching consequences for CIDP patients and the established IVIg market.

Buried within Karen Massey, Chief Operating Officer's commentary, lay a clue: "CIDP is an improved indication for IVIg, so this will be a competitive market, but we are equipped to meet the challenge." This seemingly innocuous statement, however, belies a deeper truth. Argenx isn't merely aiming for a slice of the CIDP pie; they're setting the stage to upend the entire paradigm, potentially relegating IVIg to a treatment of the past.

Here's why this is a big deal: IVIg has been the mainstay of CIDP treatment for three decades. It's an established, albeit cumbersome and costly, option. Patients, often wary of switching therapies due to the disease's progressive nature, have grudgingly accepted the bi-weekly infusions and potential side effects.

Argenx, however, is offering a compelling alternative with VYVGART Hytrulo – a rapid subcutaneous injection with a consistently strong response, regardless of prior therapy. The ADHERE data, presented at the American Academy of Neurology (AAN) meeting, showcases its potential to drive sustained functional improvement, with almost 30% of patients experiencing a 3 or more point improvement on the INCAT scale. To put it in perspective, this could be the difference between wheelchair confinement and walking unaided.

But the real revolution lies in the pre-filled syringe (PFS), slated for FDA submission by June. Argenx seeks self-administration in the label, a game-changer that would dramatically reduce treatment burden and enhance patient convenience. Imagine the freedom for CIDP patients to administer their medication at home, on their schedule, without the need for clinic visits. This isn't just an incremental improvement; it's a complete transformation of the treatment landscape.

And Argenx is meticulously laying the groundwork for success. They're engaging with payers, emphasizing VYVGART's value proposition and seeking to mirror the favorable access dynamics established for MG. They're expanding their customer-facing team, reaching deeper into the community where CIDP is primarily managed. And they're empowering patients, raising awareness about VYVGART's potential and encouraging them to advocate for their own care.

The Hypothesis: A Mass Exodus from IVIg?

The hypothesis is this: if Argenx secures approval for self-administered PFS in CIDP, they could trigger a mass exodus from IVIg. The convenience factor alone is a potent driver, particularly for younger patients who may be employed and struggle with the time commitment required for IVIg infusions. The potential for improved functional outcomes further sweetens the deal.

The Numbers Tell a Compelling Story

Let's look at the numbers: there are approximately 60,000 CIDP patients in the US, with an estimated 44,000 currently treated with IVIg. Assuming a conservative 50% switching rate within 3 years post-PFS approval, that's 22,000 patients shifting to VYVGART. At an average annual cost of $150,000 per patient, that's a staggering $3.3 billion market opportunity for Argenx – a figure that dwarfs their current MG revenue and underscores the potential magnitude of this quiet revolution.

VYVGART Adoption Trajectory

The following chart illustrates a hypothetical adoption trajectory of VYVGART in the CIDP market, assuming PFS approval and a 50% switching rate from IVIg over three years.

Argenx's Q1 earnings call was a symphony of positive news, but the quietest note may ultimately prove the most profound. By empowering patients and delivering a game-changing treatment experience, they're not just entering the CIDP market; they're poised to redefine it. The era of IVIg dominance may be drawing to a close, ushering in a new age of patient-centric innovation led by Argenx and VYVGART.

"Fun Fact: Did you know Argenx, despite its global reach, maintains its roots in a small Belgian town? This biotech powerhouse, now on the brink of revolutionizing autoimmune treatment, started in a quaint location known for its beautiful canals and medieval architecture – a testament to its humble beginnings and ambitious journey."