May 9, 2024 - ARHS

Arhaus' Secret Weapon: Thriving in a Cooling Housing Market

Arhaus, the purveyor of handcrafted, globally-inspired furniture, has defied expectations in the face of a challenging macroeconomic environment and a decline in luxury home sales. While analysts grapple to understand this seeming contradiction, the answer lies in Arhaus' strategic shift from furnishing new homes to enhancing existing ones.

The Paradigm Shift: Focusing on Home Enhancement

Arhaus CEO, John Reed, revealed a crucial insight during the Q1 2024 earnings call: "Many of our clients are staying in their home and they want to enjoy them. So they're remodeling, refreshing or simply replacing their furniture."

This statement highlights a change in consumer behavior, with Arhaus' clientele opting to invest in their current homes rather than seeking new ones. This trend is further emphasized by the increased demand for Arhaus' in-home and trade design services.

Drivers of the Shift: Remote Work and Housing Affordability

Several factors contribute to this shift in consumer behavior. The rise of remote work has increased the importance of the home environment, leading to investments in creating functional and inspiring spaces.

Additionally, with housing affordability at record lows, many potential homebuyers are choosing to stay put and enhance their current homes instead of undertaking costly moves.

The Data Speaks: Strong AOV and Demand for Design Services

Despite facing challenges like backlog normalization, Arhaus' demand comp growth in Q1 2024 reached a respectable 1.3%. This growth was driven by robust average order value (AOV) and a surge in orders exceeding $5,000 and $10,000, indicating a willingness to invest significantly in home enhancements.

Furthermore, the increasing penetration of Arhaus' in-home designer program, now estimated to be in "inning four or five," points to a growing demand for personalized design services.

Demand Comp Growth and AOV

Reference: Arhaus Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Arhaus' Strategic Advantage: A Focus on Experience

Arhaus' meticulously crafted, globally-sourced furniture embodies a sense of refined living, catering to a clientele who view their homes as expressions of their personal style and aspirations. Their strategic focus on in-home design services, coupled with their commitment to crafting exquisite, high-value furniture, positions them as a leader in a rapidly evolving market.

Hypothetical Growth of In-Home Design Services

The following chart illustrates a hypothetical projection of the growth in Arhaus' in-home design service revenue, based on its current trajectory.

"Fun Fact: Arhaus is known for its commitment to sustainability. They partner with artisans who practice responsible forestry and utilize recycled materials in their manufacturing processes."

Arhaus' story is about creating a lifestyle, curating experiences, and tapping into the timeless human desire for beautiful and inspiring living spaces. Their strategic pivot towards home enhancement services, fueled by changing work patterns and housing market dynamics, has unlocked a new avenue for growth that promises to be more sustainable and resilient in the long run.