February 27, 2024 - BYND

Beyond Meat's Stealthy Play: The European Domino Effect That Wall Street is Missing

While Wall Street fixates on Beyond Meat's (BYND) domestic struggles and pricing strategies, a subtle shift in the Q1 2024 earnings call transcript reveals a potentially explosive growth driver: Europe. The company is quietly orchestrating a domino effect of plant-based meat adoption across the continent, leveraging strategic partnerships and consumer trends that could soon eclipse the troubled U.S. market.

The transcript reveals a casual yet significant detail: Ethan Brown, Beyond Meat's CEO, describes his experience in London, where within a few blocks, he enjoyed Beyond Meat offerings at McDonald's, Starbucks, and Pizza Hut. This seemingly anecdotal observation is far more profound. It signifies the normalization of plant-based meat in Europe, seamlessly integrated into established fast-food giants. This is the "growing ubiquity" Brown refers to, a stark contrast to the polarized and politicized U.S. landscape.

This ubiquity is not accidental. Beyond Meat has strategically focused on forging deep partnerships with European QSR behemoths. The transcript highlights McDonald's expansion of the McPlant burger into the Baltic states, following its successful launch in other European countries. The "Famous Meals" campaign featuring two celebrity-endorsed plant-based meals exclusively in Germany further amplifies this strategic push.

"But the transcript goes further, hinting at a ripple effect beyond McDonald's. Beyond Steak's launch in Dutch foodservice and Belgian retail, coupled with the expansion of Beyond Burger availability in UK Co-op stores, demonstrates the company's multi-pronged approach. Beyond Meat is strategically weaving its products into the fabric of European food culture, from fast-food to grocery shelves."

This European strategy is yielding results even as the U.S. market grapples with misinformation campaigns and sluggish growth. While Q1 2024 international revenue was impacted by the lapping of prior-year promotional activities and recessionary pressures, the transcript emphasizes a trend towards "value items" in certain regions. This is a crucial distinction. It suggests that European consumers are embracing plant-based meat not just as a novelty, but as an affordable and accessible alternative.

The transcript's emphasis on "healthy ordering" and the positive reception of McPlant Nuggets in Germany further underscores this trend. European consumers, known for their health-conscious approach to food, are likely driving this shift towards value-driven plant-based options.

Revenue Trends: U.S. vs. International

While the U.S. market remains challenging, Beyond Meat's international revenue, driven by European growth, shows a less severe decline. This difference could widen as the European domino effect gains momentum.

Here's the hypothesis: Wall Street is missing the bigger picture. They're fixated on Beyond Meat's domestic challenges, overlooking the potential of the European market. Consider this: Germany, a market Beyond Meat will enter more fully in 2024, has a population exceeding 83 million, larger than California and Texas combined. The potential for exponential growth is evident, particularly if Beyond Meat can replicate its QSR success in Germany's retail sector.

Furthermore, Beyond Meat's satisfaction of local shelf life requirements in Germany opens doors to broader EU expansion. This could unlock significant revenue streams, especially considering the EU's population exceeding 447 million, dwarfing the U.S. market.

The transcript also reveals Beyond Meat's intention to bolster its balance sheet in 2024, potentially through debt or equity initiatives. This strategic move, coupled with the company's emphasis on cost reduction and margin expansion, further supports the hypothesis that Beyond Meat is positioning itself for explosive growth, fueled by the European market.

In conclusion, while Wall Street fixates on Beyond Meat's domestic woes, the company is strategically positioning itself for a European resurgence. The domino effect of plant-based meat adoption, driven by QSR partnerships and a growing consumer preference for value-driven healthy options, could propel Beyond Meat to unprecedented heights.

"Fun Fact: Did you know that Beyond Meat's first product, the Beyond Chicken Strip, was launched in 2012 and quickly gained popularity in Whole Foods Market stores? This initial success laid the foundation for the company's future innovation and expansion."