May 23, 2024 - BILI

Bilibili's Secret Weapon: How Diapers and SUVs Could Drive Explosive Profitability

Bilibili, the Chinese online entertainment platform beloved by Gen-Z, is on the cusp of a major financial transformation. The company has boldly declared its ambition to achieve profitability by Q3 2024, and the latest Q1 2024 earnings transcript offers tantalizing clues about how they plan to do it. While analysts are focusing on the explosive growth in advertising revenue, particularly from the gaming and e-commerce sectors, a subtle but seismic shift in Bilibili's content landscape has gone largely unnoticed.

The transcript reveals a remarkable surge in video views for categories like baby and maternity, automotive, home appliances, and home decoration. These categories, often associated with older demographics, might seem out of place on a platform known for its anime, gaming, and tech-savvy users. But this is where Bilibili's genius lies: they are not just catering to Gen-Z, they are growing *with* them.

Remember, the average age of a Bilibili user is now 24. As this core demographic matures, their interests are evolving, and Bilibili is shrewdly adapting its content strategy to match. The explosive growth in baby and maternity content, with video views up over 100% year-over-year in Q1 2024, isn't just a random blip. It's a clear signal that Bilibili's core user base is entering a new life stage, one filled with diapers, car seats, and home renovations.

The implications of this shift are profound. These emerging content categories inherently possess immense commercial value. Advertisers in sectors like baby products, automotive, and home furnishings have traditionally targeted older, more affluent demographics. But Bilibili offers them something unique: access to a highly engaged, young, and increasingly affluent user base at the precise moment they are forming brand loyalties and making major purchasing decisions.

The transcript is peppered with examples of this strategy in action. During the 2023 "Double 11" shopping festival, the GMV generated from Bilibili's live and video e-commerce for baby and maternity products increased by over 250% year-over-year. A single live e-commerce session hosted by a Bilibili content creator specializing in home decoration generated a staggering RMB 1.6 billion in GMV. These aren't isolated incidents; they are proof of concept.

Bilibili is betting that these emerging categories will not just supplement their existing ad revenue streams but potentially eclipse them. The company plans to replicate its successful model from gaming and e-commerce, integrating ads seamlessly into these new content verticals and leveraging its deep understanding of user behavior to drive conversions.

Here's where the numbers get really interesting. Imagine Bilibili captures even a fraction of the advertising budget currently allocated to traditional media targeting new parents or car buyers. The potential upside is enormous. The Chinese baby care market alone is projected to reach over USD 100 billion by 2025, and the automotive market is even larger.

Bilibili is uniquely positioned to tap into this goldmine. Unlike platforms that rely on external content or professional guilds for live broadcasting, Bilibili is leveraging its existing PUGV ecosystem. They are converting popular video creators into live broadcasting hosts, offering a seamless transition for both creators and users. This creates a virtuous cycle of growth, further solidifying Bilibili's community and enhancing its monetization potential.

The company's focus on high-quality revenue and gross profit margin improvement is evident in their plans for 2024. They are upgrading their ad infrastructure, optimizing algorithms, and exploring the use of AI to enhance ad efficiency. Their goal is to convert single ad placements into long-term brand partnerships, building lasting relationships between advertisers and users.

While the path to profitability may not be without its bumps, Bilibili's foresight in recognizing and adapting to the evolving needs of its user base is a testament to their strategic acumen. They are not just riding the wave of Gen-Z consumption, they are shaping it. And if their secret weapon of diapers and SUVs fires on all cylinders, the company could be on the verge of an explosive period of profitable growth.

Content Category Growth

Based on the Q1 2024 earnings transcript, we can see the following growth in key content categories:

While Bilibili hasn't released specific figures, their bullish statements about June 18th (618) and replicating success in new verticals suggest significant ad revenue growth. This chart shows a hypothetical projection, assuming continued momentum:

Q1 2024 Earnings Transcript

The full transcript of the Q1 2024 Bilibili earnings call can be found here on Seeking Alpha.

"Fun Fact: Bilibili's mascot is a blue-haired girl named "22" (pronounced "er-er"). The number 22 is significant to Bilibili's founder, Xu Yi (also known as "9bishi"), as it represents a character from a popular anime series he enjoyed."