July 27, 2023 - EIX

Edison International: Is the AI Revolution Quietly Powering 7% EPS Growth?

Buried within Edison International's recent Q1 2024 earnings call lies a potential game-changer that seems to have slipped under the radar of Wall Street analysts: the company's aggressive adoption of artificial intelligence. While most eyes fixated on the headline-grabbing wildfire claim adjustments and robust capital expenditure plans, a subtle but consistent narrative emerged: Edison International, and specifically its subsidiary Southern California Edison (SCE), are weaving AI into the very fabric of their operations, positioning themselves as a frontrunner in the utility sector's digital transformation.

This isn't just about deploying trendy tech buzzwords. Edison is demonstrably applying AI to address critical operational challenges, particularly in wildfire mitigation, grid planning, and customer service. The company has developed computer vision algorithms to enhance aerial inspections, effectively scanning thousands of miles of power lines for potential defects that could lead to outages or, critically, ignitions. This proactive approach, combined with the rapid deployment of covered conductor lines, has already delivered tangible results. SCE reported a staggering 98% reduction in structures destroyed and a 92% decrease in acres burned in 2021 and 2022 compared to the devastating fire seasons of 2017 and 2018.

But the real story lies in the way Edison is taking these initial AI successes and scaling them across their entire operational landscape. The company is implementing predictive models to refine asset data, enhance fire spread modeling, and optimize grid hardening efforts. Further, they're leveraging AI for customer service, predicting potential issues before customers even pick up the phone and diverting them to the most cost-effective service channels. Speech and image recognition are being used to automate inspections, while generative AI is streamlining internal processes, from drafting communications to creating data request responses.

The potential cost savings from this AI-driven operational revolution are immense. While Edison has already highlighted $41 million in annual O&M savings incorporated into their 2025 GRC application, they further identified an additional $35 million in annual O&M savings in their recent rebuttal testimony. These savings, coupled with their lowest system average rate among major California IOUs, demonstrate their commitment to affordability for customers.

Could AI Be the Secret to Edison's Projected EPS Growth?

Could this be the secret sauce behind their unwavering confidence in achieving their 5% to 7% EPS growth targets through 2028? The company's financial projections currently rely solely on robust rate base growth driven by their massive $38 to $43 billion capital expenditure plan. This plan doesn't even account for the significant upside potential from additional capital projects, CAISO transmission opportunities, or potential cost recovery in wildfire proceedings.

The hypothesis is this: Edison's proactive AI implementation is not just enhancing their operational efficiency and wildfire mitigation efforts, but is also creating a hidden engine of cost savings that could be a significant, if not the primary, driver of their long-term EPS growth.

Hypothetical Scenario: AI-Driven Cost Savings

Here's a potential scenario: Let's conservatively assume that Edison's AI-driven operational efficiency initiatives generate an additional $50 million in annual O&M savings beyond the $76 million already identified. Assuming a 52% equity ratio and a 10.05% ROE, this translates to an additional $0.13 in EPS. This alone pushes their projected 2028 EPS towards the upper end of their 5% to 7% growth target. Factor in any success from additional capital projects, CAISO transmission opportunities, or cost recovery in wildfire proceedings, and Edison could be on track to shatter their $7 EPS target for 2028.

Projected EPS Growth with AI-Driven Savings

Reference: Hypothetical scenario based on earnings call transcript and publicly available data.

Edison's AI Revolution: Shaping the Future of the Utility Sector

This is a company that's not just riding the wave of California's clean energy transition, but is actively shaping it, and they may be doing so with a quiet, but potent, AI revolution that could redefine the utility sector landscape for years to come.

"Fun Fact: Did you know Edison International's headquarters is located in Rosemead, California, a city named after the abundance of roses grown in the area during the early 20th century? Just like Rosemead transformed from a rose-growing hub into a thriving suburban community, Edison International is transforming the utility sector from a traditional energy provider into an AI-powered leader in the clean energy revolution."