May 4, 2024 - LOCO

El Pollo Loco's Salsa Secret: Is This the Key Ingredient to Outpacing Minimum Wage Hikes and Franchise Growth?

Buried within El Pollo Loco's (<a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/LOCO" alt="El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.">LOCO</a>) Q1 2024 earnings call <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/LOCO" alt="El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.">[1]</a> lies a detail so subtle, it seems to have slipped past even the most seasoned analysts. While the company outlines a multi-pronged approach to combating rising labor costs in California, one initiative stands out, not for its grandeur, but for its quiet efficiency: the salsa processor.

On the surface, this new equipment, designed to streamline salsa preparation in restaurants, seems like just another operational tweak. But a closer look reveals its potential to be a linchpin in El Pollo Loco's strategy for tackling both margin pressures and franchise growth. Here's why:

California's Minimum Wage Hike: A Looming Challenge

First, let's address the elephant in the room – California's minimum wage hike to $20 per hour for QSR restaurants, effective April 1, 2024. El Pollo Loco, with its significant California concentration, faces a disproportionate impact from this legislation. While the company has proactively implemented price increases (a little over 1% at the start of April, on top of existing price increases, for a total of mid- to high single-digit pricing for the year) and general labor management improvements, these measures alone may not be enough to fully offset the wage hike's impact.

The Salsa Processor: A Small Change with Big Potential

Enter the salsa processor. By simplifying salsa preparation, this seemingly mundane piece of equipment promises significant labor savings. Although the company refrained from quantifying the anticipated savings, citing the early stage of the rollout, their confidence in offsetting a third to half of the minimum wage impact through labor savings suggests the salsa processor plays a crucial role.

""Ultimately, our goal is to deliver speed and consistency in our operations. This starts with clear systems, process, tools and best-in-class training program. We know we have an opportunity for simplification and to continue to focus on priority labor initiatives to drive speed and to make the team member jobs easier, which will also enhance customer service. One example is the rollout of new equipment that will simplify the preparation of our freshly made salsa in the restaurant." - Liz Williams, CEO, El Pollo Loco [1] [https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/LOCO]"

Winning Unit Economics: The Foundation for Franchise Growth

But the salsa processor's importance extends beyond mere cost reduction. It speaks to a broader strategic shift within El Pollo Loco – a laser focus on "winning unit economics," as new CEO Liz Williams eloquently puts it. This commitment to improving store-level profitability isn't just lip service. Williams' emphasis on "methodically" scrutinizing "everything from COGS to R&M, utilities and other controllable expenses" signals a deep dive into operational efficiency, with the salsa processor serving as a tangible manifestation of this commitment.

Why is this "winning unit economics" focus so crucial? Because it's directly tied to El Pollo Loco's ambitious franchise growth plans. As Williams acknowledges, attracting "world-class franchisees" hinges on two key factors: a strong economic model and lower build costs. The company's historic strength in store-level margins, coupled with the ongoing drive for operational efficiency (exemplified by the salsa processor), lays the foundation for a robust economic model. Couple this with initiatives to reduce prototype build costs from a hefty $2.2 million to a more palatable $1.8 million, and the stage is set for renewed franchise growth.

Hypothetical Impact of the Salsa Processor

Here's where things get truly interesting. Let's hypothesize that the salsa processor, upon full implementation across company-owned restaurants by mid-2024, contributes to a 1% increase in restaurant contribution margin. Assuming a conservative estimate of $1.5 million in average annual company-owned restaurant revenue, this translates to a potential savings of $15,000 per restaurant per year. With approximately 200 company-owned restaurants, this equates to a total annual savings of $3 million.

Now, let's apply this hypothetical 1% margin improvement to the franchise system. Assuming the same average annual restaurant revenue and a franchise system of roughly 250 restaurants, this translates to a potential increase in franchisee profitability of $3.75 million per year. This improved profitability, combined with lower build costs and development incentives, could be the tipping point for franchisees hesitant to invest in El Pollo Loco's growth story.

Visualizing the Impact: Restaurant Contribution Margin

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical impact of the salsa processor on El Pollo Loco's restaurant contribution margin, showcasing the potential for margin expansion in both company-owned and franchised restaurants.

The Salsa Processor: More than Just Cost Savings

While the salsa processor may not be as glamorous as a new menu item or a splashy marketing campaign, its potential to quietly enhance both margins and franchisee appeal could be the secret sauce that propels El Pollo Loco to national brand status.

"**Fun Fact:** Did you know El Pollo Loco's signature citrus-marinated, fire-grilled chicken is prepared fresh in restaurants daily? It's this commitment to quality and freshness that has earned the brand a loyal following and sets it apart in the QSR landscape."