November 8, 2022 - ENG
The financial world loves a good turnaround story, and ENGlobal Corporation, a provider of engineering and automation services to the energy sector, seems poised to deliver just that. With a recent stock split and a surge in revenue, ENGlobal is catching the eye of investors hungry for growth. But a closer look at the company's most recent financial data reveals something truly perplexing: a negative gross profit.
On the surface, a negative gross profit is a glaring red flag. It signifies that the direct costs associated with providing services are exceeding the revenue generated from those services. This scenario typically raises concerns about a company's pricing strategy, operational efficiency, and overall sustainability. For most companies, a sustained negative gross profit is a recipe for disaster, leading to dwindling cash reserves and eventual bankruptcy.
Yet, in the case of ENGlobal, this seemingly dire financial metric could actually be a strategic advantage, a hidden gem masked by conventional accounting practices. Here's why:
ENGlobal operates in two distinct segments: Commercial and Government Services. The Commercial segment, focused on multi-disciplined engineering services and fabrication, is the primary driver of revenue, accounting for the lion's share of ENGlobal's operations. This segment has been particularly impacted by recent fluctuations in the energy market, resulting in a significant drop in revenue for the most recent quarter. However, a closer examination reveals that this revenue decline is primarily due to the completion of large-scale projects, a natural ebb and flow in the engineering and construction industry.
The Government Services segment, on the other hand, has experienced consistent growth, showcasing the company's ability to secure lucrative contracts with the US military for the design, integration, and maintenance of complex automation systems. These contracts often involve long-term service agreements, providing a stable and predictable revenue stream, a vital cushion against the volatility of the commercial market.
ENGlobal's financial data reveals a gross profit of -$643,000 for the trailing twelve months, a stark contrast to the positive gross profits of previous years. This negative value can be attributed to several factors, including cost overruns on specific commercial projects nearing completion and increased investment in human resources and infrastructure to support the expanding government services segment.
While these factors are cause for concern, it's crucial to remember that ENGlobal's government contracts are generally long-term, meaning that the initial investments in staffing and infrastructure will yield sustained returns over the contract's lifespan. Additionally, ENGlobal's recent stock split, a move often interpreted as a signal of confidence in future growth, indicates that the company's leadership anticipates a rebound in the commercial segment and overall profitability.
Furthermore, ENGlobal's market capitalization, currently hovering around $8.7 million, significantly undervalues the company's potential. With a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 3.56, ENGlobal is trading at a discount compared to its industry peers. The Wall Street target price of $5.5 per share suggests a substantial upside potential for investors, further reinforcing the notion that the negative gross profit is a temporary blip rather than a chronic ailment.
Here's the intriguing hypothesis: What if ENGlobal is strategically leveraging this period of negative gross profit to secure its future dominance? By investing heavily in its government services segment, even at the expense of short-term commercial profitability, the company may be laying the foundation for a highly profitable future built on long-term contracts and recurring revenue. This strategy, often employed by forward-thinking companies, positions them to weather market fluctuations and emerge as industry leaders when conditions improve.
Of course, this hypothesis requires further investigation. Analyzing the specifics of ENGlobal's government contracts, assessing the long-term profitability of these contracts, and tracking the company's progress in streamlining its commercial operations are crucial steps in determining the validity of this contrarian viewpoint.
"Fun Fact: ENGlobal has been involved in designing automation systems for NASA's Space Shuttle program, a testament to the company's technical expertise and ability to handle complex, mission-critical projects."
The bottom line is this: ENGlobal's negative gross profit is a puzzle piece that demands further scrutiny. While conventional wisdom dictates caution, a deeper dive reveals the possibility of a strategic masterstroke, a bold play for long-term dominance disguised as a temporary setback. For investors willing to challenge the status quo and dig beneath the surface, ENGlobal might just be the diamond in the rough they've been searching for.