May 15, 2024 - EGLXF

Enthusiast Gaming: Beyond the NHL Deal - The Quiet Rise of a Subscription Powerhouse

While the headlines shout about Enthusiast Gaming's multi-year partnership with the National Hockey League, a deeper dive into their Q1 2024 earnings call transcript reveals a potential hidden play, one that savvy investors might have missed amidst the excitement of another major league signing. The company's strategic shift towards subscription revenue, coupled with subtle hints dropped during the call, suggests that Enthusiast Gaming might be gearing up for a significant expansion in this high-margin sector, a move that could dramatically reshape their financial future.

Remember, just a quarter ago, Enthusiast Gaming was fighting for survival. Faced with a brutal advertising market and a bloated cost structure, they were forced to delist from Nasdaq, slash their workforce, and shed unprofitable assets. Their Q4 2023 earnings call transcript was a sobering reality check, with CEO Adrian Montgomery admitting the need for a rapid and decisive turnaround. Fast forward to Q1 2024, and the narrative has dramatically shifted. Yes, the NHL partnership is a huge win, echoing the success of their NFL Tuesday Night Gaming initiative. But beneath the surface, a quieter, potentially more powerful story is unfolding – the subscription play.

Throughout the Q1 call transcript , there's a palpable sense of excitement around the company's subscription business. Montgomery highlights the impressive engagement metrics of The Sims Resource, with time spent per user nearly triple that of their closest competitor. CFO Felicia DellaFortuna emphasizes the positive impact of longer-term subscriptions on working capital and liquidity. And both executives repeatedly underscore the high-margin nature of this revenue stream, a crucial element in their quest for sustainable profitability.

The real intrigue, however, lies in the seemingly innocuous details. Montgomery casually mentions the deployment of a first-party data analytics platform at The Sims Resource, a tool designed to enhance customer acquisition and tailor subscription offerings based on user behavior. He then teases the potential for cross-pollinating these learnings across other properties, specifically mentioning Fantasy Football Scout and their collaboration with UEFA for Euro 2024. This seemingly offhand comment could be a significant foreshadowing of the company's broader ambitions.

Consider this: Enthusiast Gaming boasts a vast and diverse audience across its various platforms, exceeding 50 million monthly unique visitors. They own some of the most popular fan communities in the world, with passionate and loyal users. And they've proven their ability to convert a sizable chunk of these users into paying subscribers, as evidenced by the 268,000 paid subscribers at The Sims Resource. If Enthusiast Gaming can replicate the subscription model across their other platforms, leveraging their first-party data and targeted acquisition strategies, the revenue potential could be staggering.

Hypothetical Scenario: The Subscription Power Play

Let's crunch some numbers. Assuming Enthusiast Gaming converts just 5% of its 50 million monthly unique visitors into paying subscribers across its platforms, at an average monthly subscription fee of $5, the math looks compelling:

Factoring in an estimated 80% gross margin for subscription revenue (compared to their current overall 60% margin), the potential annual gross profit from subscriptions alone could reach $120 million. This dramatic figure would not only erase their current adjusted EBITDA loss but also propel them into a new league of profitability.

Revenue Breakdown: Shifting Focus, Expanding Margins

The chart below illustrates the company's shift in revenue streams, based on data from their Q4 2023 and Q1 2024 earnings calls. The decline in lower-margin video programmatic revenue is evident, alongside the growth in direct sales and the consistent performance of subscriptions. This strategic realignment sets the stage for increased profitability.

Enthusiast Gaming's NHL partnership is undoubtedly a big win, but it's the under-the-radar subscription play that might hold the key to their long-term success. While other analysts are focused on the immediate impact of the hockey deal, savvy investors might want to pay closer attention to the company's quiet, yet potentially transformative, moves in the subscription space. It could be a game-changer.

"Fun Fact: Did you know that Enthusiast Gaming owns Addicting Games, home to the iconic flash game "QWOP"? The game, known for its hilariously frustrating controls and ragdoll physics, has been played over a billion times and is a testament to the company's enduring connection with the gaming community."