February 25, 2022 - EVRZF

EVRAZ: Green Steel or a Smokescreen for Sanctions?

Russian steel giant EVRAZ is attempting a delicate balancing act. Publicly, they're championing an ambitious transition to green steel production, promising to drastically cut emissions and invest heavily in cutting-edge technology. Behind the scenes, however, they're grappling with the stark reality of international sanctions, forced to navigate a geopolitical minefield that threatens their very survival. Is this green pivot a genuine commitment to sustainability, or a calculated ploy to appease regulators and safeguard their future in a world increasingly wary of Russian industry?

A close look at the company's recent earnings transcripts reveals a fascinating narrative. Amidst discussions of record profits and ambitious expansion plans are hints of a deeper strategy at play. While EVRAZ executives downplay the impact of sanctions, a sense of urgency underscores their commitment to environmental initiatives.

Consider this: EVRAZ has pledged to reduce CO2 emissions by 20% by 2030. This is a bold target, particularly for a company so deeply entrenched in Russia's carbon-intensive industrial complex. To achieve this, they're relying on a combination of energy efficiency programs, green energy purchases, and a reduction in coke usage in their blast furnaces.

EVRAZ's Green Gambit: Kachkanarsky Iron Ore

Adding intrigue to the story, EVRAZ is exploring the potential of producing "zero carbon" iron ore from their Kachkanarsky deposit. This, they contend, is the linchpin to unlocking a truly green steel future. Details remain sparse, but the company claims to have already initiated research into utilizing this unique iron ore.

The timing of this announcement is striking. Could it be that EVRAZ sees green steel not just as an environmental necessity, but as a strategic lifeline? A way to distance themselves from other Russian companies, attract foreign investment, and secure their position in a global market increasingly focused on sustainability?

Shifting Focus: North American Investments

The numbers speak volumes. EVRAZ plans to invest $1.1 billion in capital expenditures this year, with a significant portion allocated to their Palmer project – a new rail mill in North America. This is a clear indication that they're prioritizing projects with a global reach, potentially lessening their reliance on the Russian market.

Vertical Integration and Diversification

Furthermore, their decision to construct a new vanadium processing plant in Tula suggests a strategy of vertical integration and diversification. By bringing more of their vanadium processing in-house, they gain greater control over their supply chain and reduce their dependence on external providers, some of whom may be subject to sanctions.

EVRAZ's Financial Performance

MetricQ4 2021Change (YoY)
Revenue$14.2 Billion+45%
EBITDA$5 Billion+127%
EBITDA Margin35%+12%
Free Cash Flow$2.3 Billion+121%

A Calculated Gamble?

EVRAZ's commitment to a green steel future is evident. The question is whether it's driven solely by environmental responsibility or by a shrewd calculation of self-preservation in a challenging geopolitical climate.

The answer, as with most things in the realms of high finance and international politics, is likely a complex mix of both. EVRAZ's future hinges on their ability to navigate the treacherous waters of global sanctions while simultaneously positioning themselves at the forefront of a green industrial revolution. Only time will tell if their gamble will pay off.

"Fun Fact: Steel is 100% recyclable, making it a key player in a circular economy. EVRAZ's green steel push, if genuine, could contribute significantly to global sustainability efforts."