March 10, 2023 - FGPR

Ferrellgas: A Ghost Town Hiding a $651 Million Secret

Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. (FGPR), the propane distributor best known for its ubiquitous Blue Rhino tanks, might appear to be fading into obscurity on the PINK exchange. The company hasn't seen a dividend since 2018 [FGPR Dividend History], underwent a 1:20 reverse stock split in 2021 [FGPR Stock Split History], and operates in a seemingly mundane sector. But lurking beneath the surface, obscured by a series of financial headwinds, is a $651 million enigma: the value of warrants that seem to be entirely overlooked by the market.

This isn't just a simple case of a struggling company holding onto a potential lifeline. These warrants, valued at a staggering $651,349,000 and representing a significant portion of the company's assets, were consistently reported on quarterly balance sheets from April 30, 2021 to October 31, 2022 [FGPR Financials]. Then, they vanished, never to be mentioned again in subsequent financial reports.

The conspicuous absence of these warrants raises a host of questions. Did Ferrellgas exercise them? Were they sold off in a private transaction? Or were they simply a reporting error, a phantom asset that inflated the company's balance sheet for over a year?

The impact of these scenarios is vast. If the warrants were exercised, it would imply a significant infusion of capital into Ferrellgas, a development that should have sent ripples through the market. A private sale, on the other hand, could indicate a strategic move to strengthen the company's financial position, potentially through debt reduction or acquisition. Yet, no such announcements were made.

The possibility of a reporting error cannot be dismissed. Ferrellgas's financial performance during the period these warrants were reported was marked by significant volatility. The company swung between profitability and substantial losses, raising concerns about the accuracy of their financial reporting.

Ferrellgas Net Income Fluctuations

Consider the company's net income figures for the years ending July 31st:

Fiscal YearNet Income (USD)
2021-$69,113,000
2022$147,993,000
2023$75,853,000

These fluctuations, coupled with the unexplained disappearance of the warrants, paint a picture of a company navigating turbulent financial waters. The market's indifference to this $651 million question is even more baffling. With Ferrellgas's market cap hovering around $294 million [FGPR Quote], the potential impact of these warrants is undeniable.

Adding another layer of intrigue is the history of Ferrellgas. The company, founded in 1939 by James E. Ferrell [Ferrellgas About Us], has deep roots in the American heartland. Ferrell, known for his entrepreneurial spirit, built the company from a single propane truck into a national powerhouse. This legacy, combined with the current financial mystery, makes Ferrellgas a compelling subject for deeper investigation.

Analysts and investors may be overlooking a critical piece of the Ferrellgas puzzle. The unaccounted for warrants present a unique opportunity for those willing to delve into the company's financials and unravel this $651 million enigma. The answer, when found, could reveal a crucial turning point for Ferrellgas, propelling it out of the PINK exchange shadows and back into the limelight.

Hypothesis:

The sudden disappearance of the warrants from Ferrellgas's balance sheet, without any corresponding market announcements or significant financial events, suggests a potential reporting error.

Supporting Numbers:

Warrant Value: $651,349,000

Market Cap: $294,421,888

The value of the warrants significantly exceeds the company's current market capitalization, making their potential impact on the company's financials substantial. The lack of any publicly available information regarding their use or disposal strengthens the hypothesis of a reporting anomaly.

"Fun Fact: Propane is a versatile fuel used for various purposes beyond just heating and cooking. It's also used as an alternative fuel for vehicles, in agricultural applications like crop drying, and even as a propellant in aerosols."