May 12, 2024 - FINGF

Finning's Whisper: A Hidden Clue to Unlocking Explosive Growth

Finning International Inc., the world's largest Caterpillar dealer, delivered solid Q1 2024 results, leaving analysts buzzing with optimistic projections for the remainder of the year. Strong new and used equipment sales, bolstered by a $700 million backlog surge post-quarter, paint a rosy picture for the company. But nestled within the seemingly positive narrative lies a whisper, a subtle shift in Finning's internal dynamics that, if understood correctly, could signal a period of explosive growth far exceeding even the most bullish analyst predictions.

This whisper isn't about the headline-grabbing Codelco deal or the much-anticipated Trans Mountain Pipeline operation commencement. It's about Finning's evolving relationship with **used equipment**, not just as a revenue source, but as a strategic weapon for dominating its markets.

For years, Finning's approach to used equipment was largely reactive. They sold what they had, prioritizing their own territory where possible, but without a truly cohesive strategy. The recent Q1 2024 earnings call transcript, however, reveals a fundamental shift in this mindset. Words like 'dedicated leadership,' 'simple agile processes,' 'empowering,' and 'unleashing potential' signal a deliberate and aggressive push to elevate used equipment from a passive revenue stream to a strategic linchpin for future growth.

The numbers back this up. Used equipment revenue surged 48% year-over-year in Q1, building on previous quarters' strong performance. Finning has invested in specialized talent, streamlined processes, and even launched a dedicated online platform for global used equipment sales. This isn't just about capitalizing on a hot used equipment market; it's about controlling it.

Here's why this whisper is so significant. Finning understands that selling used equipment isn't just a one-off transaction; it's an opportunity to build a **captive audience** for future product support revenue, the company's highest-margin and most stable business line. By prioritizing used equipment sales within its own territories, Finning strategically plants the seeds for long-term customer relationships, ensuring that the equipment it sells today fuels its service and parts business for years to come.

This strategy is particularly potent in the current market environment. As supply chains normalize, competition in new equipment sales is intensifying. But Finning, by controlling the flow of used equipment, can build a resilient moat around its core product support business, insulating itself from pricing pressures and ultimately dictating the pace of the market.

Hypothetical Impact of Used Equipment Strategy

Let's assume Finning successfully increases its share of the used equipment market within its territories by 10% over the next two years. Given the current market size and average product support revenue per unit, this could translate to an additional $100 million in annual product support revenue, a significant boost to the company's bottom line.

But the impact goes beyond pure revenue growth. By controlling the used equipment market, Finning gains **pricing power** across the board. As the dominant player, they can command premium prices for both new and used equipment, knowing that customers seeking reliable service and parts will gravitate towards Finning's ecosystem.

This strategy is already evident in Finning's success with the Codelco deal, where a large proportion of the mining fleet will be supported under a 10-year maintenance contract. By securing these long-term contracts, Finning locks in predictable revenue streams, further solidifying its earnings capacity and reducing its exposure to cyclical fluctuations.

There's a reason why Caterpillar, the global heavy equipment giant, values its relationship with Finning so highly. Finning's strategic prowess, particularly its emerging dominance in used equipment, makes it a formidable force in its markets, capable of driving both top-line growth and margin expansion. This whisper, barely audible amidst the positive noise of Q1, is a clue to Finning's ambitious plan to build an unassailable fortress within its territories, a fortress built on a foundation of used equipment, fueled by product support, and fortified by long-term customer relationships.

While analysts are fixated on the immediate impact of large-scale mining deals and pipeline projects, Finning is quietly orchestrating a revolution in its used equipment business, a revolution that could catapult the company to unprecedented heights in the years to come. This whisper, if understood correctly, isn't just a clue; it's a siren call to investors seeking exposure to a company poised for explosive, sustainable, and perhaps even **unstoppable growth**.

"Fun Fact: Finning's South American operation in Chile generated a remarkable 27.6% return on invested capital (ROIC) in Q4 2023, significantly exceeding the company's overall 20% ROIC for the year. This highlights the profitability and efficiency of Finning's operations in this key market."
"Infographic: The Used Equipment Advantage"

Captive Audience: Used equipment sales create a loyal customer base for high-margin product support services. Pricing Power: Dominance in the used equipment market allows Finning to command premium prices for new and used equipment. Resilient Moat: Control over used equipment flow protects Finning's core product support business from competitive pressures. Predictable Revenue: Long-term service contracts, like the Codelco deal, provide stable and predictable revenue streams.