May 2, 2024 - FTNT
Buried within the dense forest of numbers and strategic pronouncements in Fortinet's recent Q1 2024 earnings call transcript lies a potential game-changer, one that seems to have flown under the radar of most analysts. While the company's aggressive push into the unified SASE and SecOps markets is well-documented, a subtle shift in their approach to hardware could be the key to unlocking even greater success.
Fortinet's Ken Xie casually dropped a seemingly innocuous comment: customers are showing early interest in using the company's FortiWiFi access points (APs) and FortiSwitch as 'hardware agents' for their SASE deployments. This seemingly minor detail hints at a potentially brilliant strategic maneuver, one that could catapult Fortinet to the forefront of the SASE market.
Here's why this is so significant. Traditionally, SASE solutions have primarily relied on software-based agents installed on individual endpoints. While this approach works, it has limitations. Managing software agents across a large, distributed network can be cumbersome and resource-intensive. It also raises compatibility issues, especially with the ever-expanding landscape of devices and operating systems.
Enter Fortinet's ingenious solution: leveraging their existing hardware, specifically FortiWiFi APs and FortiSwitch, as SASE agents. This eliminates the need for individual endpoint agents, streamlining deployment and management. By integrating SASE functionality directly into these network devices, Fortinet simplifies the process for customers, particularly appealing to the cost-conscious SMB segment that already constitutes a significant portion of their SASE user base.
Furthermore, this approach aligns perfectly with Fortinet's single operating system philosophy, further reinforcing their integrated security vision. By leveraging FortiOS, the same operating system powering their firewalls and other security solutions, across their hardware and SASE offerings, Fortinet creates a unified security fabric that streamlines operations, enhances visibility, and simplifies management for customers.
The potential impact of this hardware shift is substantial. It could significantly accelerate SASE adoption, particularly within the rapidly growing mid-market segment, where simplicity and ease of deployment are paramount. We've already witnessed the remarkable growth trajectory of Fortinet's SASE business, with billings accounting for 24% of the total in Q1 2024 and a staggering 150% growth in the SSE pipeline. Imagine the acceleration this hardware approach could fuel.
Fortinet's aggressive promotion of this hardware-agent SASE approach, offering free SASE functionality with FortiWiFi APs, further underscores their confidence in this strategy. It's a bold move, one designed to entice customers to experience the seamless integration and enhanced security of Fortinet's unified platform.
Let's not forget the potential cost savings. By eliminating the need for individual endpoint SASE agents, customers can significantly reduce their software licensing costs, further enhancing the value proposition of Fortinet's offering. This is particularly relevant in the current economic environment, where businesses are increasingly seeking cost-effective security solutions.
Assume Fortinet converts 50% of their existing SD-WAN customer base (reportedly tens of thousands) to their hardware-agent SASE solution over the next two years. Considering their current SASE billing run rate of approximately $1.5 billion (24% of $6.5 billion in total billings), this conversion could generate an additional $750 million in SASE billings, representing a 50% growth in this business segment alone.
Of course, this is just one scenario, and the actual impact will depend on various factors, including market adoption, competitive dynamics, and Fortinet's execution. However, the potential for this seemingly minor hardware shift to transform the SASE market and solidify Fortinet's leadership position is undeniable.
It's a subtle detail, easily overlooked amid the financial figures and strategic buzzwords, but it could be the secret weapon that propels Fortinet to dominate the SASE landscape in the coming years.
"Fun Fact: Fortinet holds over 2000 patents related to cybersecurity, highlighting their commitment to innovation and technological advancement in this field."
Operating margin increased 200 basis points to a first quarter record of 28.5%
Reference: Fortinet Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript (Keith Jensen)
Record cash flow from operations of $830 million
Reference: Fortinet Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript (Ken Xie)
Unified SASE and SecOps combined accounted for one-third of first quarter billings
Reference: Fortinet Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript (Ken Xie)
Existing SD-WAN customers delivered 81% of unified SASE billings
Reference: Fortinet Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript (Keith Jensen)
30% growth in SecOps pipeline and over 45% growth in unified SASE pipeline
Reference: Fortinet Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript (Keith Jensen)