March 20, 2024 - WWR
Westwater Resources (WWR) is a company that has been flying under the radar for years. Formerly known as Uranium Resources, Inc., this energy technology company has undergone a dramatic transformation, shifting its focus from uranium mining to the development of battery-grade natural graphite materials. This pivot, while seemingly radical, positions Westwater at the heart of a burgeoning electric vehicle (EV) market, a market projected to reach a staggering $802.81 billion by 2028.
While financial analysts have been diligently tracking Westwater's progress in constructing its Kellyton Graphite Processing Plant in Alabama, and meticulously analyzing the potential of its Coosa graphite project, I believe there's a critical element being overlooked – an element hidden within the company's financial data that could signal a future far more explosive than anyone currently anticipates.
Westwater's financial records reveal a curious trend: a dramatic increase in the company's outstanding shares, particularly in the past three years. In 2019, the company had a mere 2 million shares outstanding. Fast forward to the end of 2023, and that number skyrockets to 52 million. This represents a 26-fold increase in just five years. What's even more fascinating is the acceleration of this trend in recent quarters. From Q1 2023 to Q1 2024, outstanding shares jumped from 49 million to 56 million – a 14% increase in just a single year.
Now, the conventional wisdom might attribute this share increase to capital raising efforts for the Kellyton plant. However, a closer examination of Westwater's cash flow statement paints a different picture. While the company has indeed been issuing capital stock, the amounts raised pale in comparison to the overall increase in outstanding shares. Furthermore, Westwater boasts a remarkably robust cash position. With $10.85 million in cash at the end of 2023 and a consistently negative net debt, the company appears to be in no dire need of massive capital infusions.
So, what's driving this share expansion? My hypothesis is that Westwater is strategically positioning itself for a potential acquisition – and not just any acquisition, but an acquisition by a major player in the EV space. Let's examine the evidence:
Firstly, the sheer scale of the share increase suggests a deliberate effort to dilute ownership, making the company more affordable for a potential buyer. Secondly, Westwater's pivot to battery-grade graphite aligns perfectly with the raw material needs of EV giants like Tesla. With Tesla's commitment to securing a stable and ethical supply of battery components, Westwater, with its domestic graphite resources and processing capabilities, emerges as an ideal acquisition target.
This hypothesis is further bolstered by Westwater's recent appointment of Terence James Cryan as Executive Chairman. Cryan, a seasoned financial veteran, boasts a career studded with leadership roles at major financial institutions, including Deutsche Bank and UBS. His presence at the helm signals a strategic focus on high-level financial maneuvering – maneuvering that could very well culminate in a lucrative acquisition deal.
The potential ramifications of such an acquisition are monumental. Westwater, currently valued at a modest $27.45 million, could witness its valuation explode if absorbed by a company like Tesla, whose market cap currently hovers around a colossal $880 billion.
Of course, this is just a hypothesis, and only time will tell what Westwater's ultimate fate will be. However, the company's strategic shift, its aggressive share expansion, its strong financial footing, and its recent leadership changes all point towards a future that could be far more dynamic and profitable than most analysts currently predict.
"Fun Fact: Westwater's Coosa graphite project is located in Coosa County, Alabama, a region known for its rich mineral deposits. The state of Alabama also houses the US Space & Rocket Center, highlighting the state's diverse contributions to cutting-edge industries."