February 27, 2024 - HRGLF

Hargreaves Lansdown: A Tech Impairment, a New CEO, and a Potential Cash Cow Hiding in Plain Sight

Hargreaves Lansdown, the UK's largest D2C investment platform, has always played it safe. A strong focus on client service, a conservative approach to technology, and a steady dividend payout have been the cornerstones of their success. But as the financial landscape shifts and new competitors emerge, are they missing out on a more aggressive, potentially lucrative strategy?

The recent September earnings call revealed a fascinating shift in direction. New CEO Dan Olley, with a background steeped in data and advanced technology, seems to be steering the ship towards a more agile and data-driven approach. While much of the focus has been on the new leadership, the slowdown in net new business, and the reiteration of client-centric values, a key detail slipped under the radar: the £14.4 million impairment charge taken against two specific technology projects.

This impairment, coupled with the appointment of a tech-savvy CEO, hints at a potentially pivotal shift within Hargreaves Lansdown. Could it be that the platform, known for its slow and steady approach to technology, is finally embracing a more aggressive digital strategy? Is this a signal of a future where HL leverages its vast data reserves to build a more personalized, potentially even automated, investment experience?

Consider this: Hargreaves Lansdown sits on a treasure trove of client data. Millions of interactions, billions in assets under administration, and a diverse range of client profiles provide a unique insight into investor behavior. This data, combined with Olley's expertise in AI and data-driven solutions, could be the foundation for a powerful new revenue stream.

Imagine a future where Hargreaves Lansdown, armed with sophisticated AI models, not only makes investing easier, but actively guides clients towards optimal investment decisions. This "augmented" approach, as Olley describes it, could go beyond simple personalization, offering a level of guidance that sits just below regulated financial advice.

While the regulatory landscape around advice is complex, Hargreaves Lansdown has already demonstrated a willingness to push boundaries with its Active Savings product. This innovative offering, a relative newcomer to the platform, has seen explosive growth, attracting over £3.2 billion in assets in 2023 alone. The success of Active Savings, combined with the potential of AI-driven personalization, paints a picture of a future where Hargreaves Lansdown moves beyond its traditional, conservative model.

Share Dealing Volume Trends

This chart shows the share dealing volume trend as described in the Q2 2024 earnings call transcript.

The company could become a true powerhouse, leveraging its vast data reserves to offer a more personalized, efficient, and potentially even automated investment experience. This shift wouldn't come without challenges. Regulatory scrutiny, client trust, and the need for significant technological investment will all need careful navigation. But the potential rewards are substantial.

Key Financial Data (as of June 17, 2024)

MetricValue
Market Cap$6,724,300,288
EBITDA$384,500,000
P/E Ratio16.31
Dividend Yield3.84%

Hargreaves Lansdown is in a unique position to bridge the gap between traditional investing and the increasingly data-driven world of finance. If Olley can successfully harness the power of their data and build a truly "augmented" investment experience, Hargreaves Lansdown could unlock a new era of growth, potentially turning their conservative platform into a truly disruptive force in the financial landscape.

This hypothesis, of course, requires further exploration. While the recent transcript provides intriguing clues, a closer examination of their technology investments, their strategic partnerships, and their ongoing dialogue with regulators will be essential in confirming the direction they are truly taking.

"Fun Fact: Did you know that Hargreaves Lansdown was founded by two school friends, Peter Hargreaves and Stephen Lansdown, who started the company from a spare bedroom in 1981? From humble beginnings, they built a financial empire, a testament to their entrepreneurial spirit and their focus on client service. Will this spirit of innovation continue under Olley's leadership? Only time will tell."