April 24, 2024 - LAD

Lithia Motors: The Quiet Revolution Brewing Beneath Declining GPUs

Lithia Motors (LAD) just reported their Q1 2024 earnings, and while the headlines focused on declining gross profit per unit (GPU) as the industry normalizes, there's a quiet revolution brewing beneath the surface. Buried in Bryan DeBoer's comments lies a subtle shift in strategy that could reshape the entire automotive retail landscape. Forget the 5% market share goal, Lithia is aiming for something far more powerful: complete ownership of the customer lifecycle.

For years, Lithia has differentiated itself through an aggressive acquisition strategy, gobbling up dealerships and expanding its physical footprint. But now, with foundational adjacencies like Driveway, GreenCars, and Driveway Finance Corporation (DFC) firmly established, a new strategic emphasis is emerging. DeBoer repeatedly emphasized the importance of the "ecosystem" and its ability to create "deeper customer loyalty" and "increasing market share and profitability." This isn't just rhetoric, it's a fundamental shift from chasing market share to owning the customer relationship.

The evidence is subtle but unmistakable. DeBoer highlights Driveway's evolution beyond a mere online sales channel to a comprehensive customer portal encompassing 13 functions and growing. He envisions an eventual 118 touchpoints within the Driveway ecosystem, enabling customers to manage every aspect of their vehicle ownership experience, from scheduling service appointments to making finance payments and even assessing trade-in values.

This goes far beyond anything offered by competitors, who remain largely focused on the transactional aspects of the car buying and servicing process. Lithia, however, is quietly building an "infectious" platform designed to engage customers multiple times a week, not just once every few years when they're in the market for a new car.

And there's a financial hypothesis underpinning this strategic shift. DeBoer projects a 30%-35% reduction in Driveway's burn rate this year, with another similar reduction on the horizon. This suggests a pathway to profitability for Driveway, not as an independent entity, but as a synergistic component of the broader Lithia ecosystem.

The financial implications of this strategy are profound. A fully-realized ecosystem, with high customer engagement and a multitude of monetizable touchpoints, could drive a significant increase in lifetime customer value. This would translate into higher margins, lower customer acquisition costs, and ultimately, a more profitable and valuable business.

DFC Penetration and Projected Profitability

DFC Penetration Rate in Q1 2024: 11.7%

It's clear that Lithia sees these adjacencies, many of them seamlessly integrated into the Driveway ecosystem, as crucial drivers of future profitability. And this is where the real revolution lies. By owning the customer relationship and providing a comprehensive ecosystem of services, Lithia can monetize touchpoints throughout the ownership lifecycle, generating recurring revenue streams and building a level of customer loyalty that transcends the traditional car buying experience.

It's worth noting that Lithia isn't abandoning its acquisition strategy. They're simply refining it, focusing 90% of their M&A dollars on domestic U.S. automotive businesses, targeting larger, more profitable dealerships in key regions. This continued expansion of their physical footprint, combined with their evolving digital ecosystem, creates a powerful one-two punch that could reshape the industry.

While other analysts focus on the near-term dynamics of GPU normalization, Lithia Motors is playing a different game. They're building a long-term, sustainable competitive advantage by creating an unreplicable ecosystem that owns the customer relationship. It's a quiet revolution, but one that could pay dividends for years to come.

"Fun Fact: Lithia Motors was founded in 1946 by Walt DeBoer in Ashland, Oregon. The company started with a single Chevrolet dealership and has since grown into one of the largest automotive retailers in the United States."