March 2, 2023 - LBPH

Longboard Pharmaceuticals: The Sleeping Giant About to Ride a Wave of Profits?

Longboard Pharmaceuticals (LBPH), a name that conjures images of leisurely strolls along sunny California beaches, might soon be making waves in the bustling world of Wall Street. While the company's financial data paints a picture of a nascent biotech firm still firmly in its developmental stage, a closer look reveals a potentially overlooked detail – an undercurrent of financial stability that could propel Longboard to a position of strength in the coming years.

At first glance, Longboard's financials appear unremarkable. They are, after all, a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel medicines for neurological diseases. This means hefty investments in research and development, which, in turn, translate to a current lack of revenue. As of the latest quarter, the company reported no revenue, an EBITDA of -$62.9 million, and an EPS of -$2.25. These numbers are not unexpected for a company in Longboard's position.

However, hidden beneath the surface of these seemingly standard figures lies a critical factor that sets Longboard apart – its robust cash position. Longboard possesses a staggering $321 million in cash and short-term investments, dwarfing its total liabilities of a mere $13.9 million. This translates to a net debt of -$50.4 million, signifying a company practically drowning in readily available liquidity.

This exceptionally strong cash position is no accident. It stems from a series of strategic decisions by Longboard's leadership. In January 2024, Arena Pharmaceuticals, Longboard's parent company, sold a significant portion of its stake in the company for $95.8 million. This influx of capital, coupled with a follow-on offering in March 2024 that raised over $300 million, has solidified Longboard's financial foundation.

The significance of this financial strength cannot be overstated. It allows Longboard to aggressively pursue its research and development goals without the constant pressure of seeking external funding. The company's lead drug candidate, Bexicaserin (LP352), is currently undergoing clinical trials for the treatment of seizures associated with developmental and epileptic encephalopathies, a market with a substantial unmet need. With its current cash reserves, Longboard can fully fund the development and potential commercialization of Bexicaserin, and their other drug candidate, LP659, without the dilution often associated with capital raises.

Furthermore, this financial stability provides Longboard with a distinct advantage in the competitive biotech landscape. The company can weather potential setbacks in clinical trials without facing an immediate financial crisis. This resilience could attract further investment, as it signals a lower risk profile compared to other early-stage biotech firms.

The question, then, is whether the market has fully grasped the implications of Longboard's financial strength. While the company's stock price has appreciated significantly since the beginning of 2024, it still trades at a relatively modest price-to-book ratio of 18.23. This suggests that the market may not be fully pricing in the potential upside of Longboard's drug candidates and its ability to navigate the notoriously volatile biotech sector.

Financial Highlights

MetricValue
Cash & Short-Term Investments$321 million
Total Liabilities$13.9 million
Net Debt-$50.4 million
Price-to-Book Ratio18.23

Hypothesis

If Bexicaserin demonstrates strong efficacy and safety in its upcoming clinical trials, and Longboard successfully leverages its financial strength to commercialize the drug, the company's stock price could experience a significant re-rating.

Supporting Numbers

The global market for epilepsy drugs is projected to reach $8.3 billion by 2027. Even capturing a small fraction of this market would translate to significant revenue for Longboard.

While the future is always uncertain, particularly in the world of biotech, Longboard Pharmaceuticals appears to be in a uniquely favorable position. Its strong cash position, combined with its promising drug pipeline, creates a compelling investment thesis. The sleeping giant may soon awaken, ready to ride a wave of success in the years to come.

"Fun Fact: Longboard Pharmaceuticals takes its name from the iconic longboard surfboards, reflecting the company's California roots and its ambition to navigate the complex and often unpredictable waters of drug development."