May 3, 2024 - MATW
Matthews International, a company with a legacy stretching back to 1850, might be on the verge of something truly groundbreaking. While most analysts are focused on the immediate headwinds facing the company, like delays in energy storage deliveries and softness in the warehouse automation market, there's a hidden gem in the transcript that deserves a closer look. It's a gem that could reshape not only Matthews' future, but potentially the entire electric vehicle landscape: the dry battery electrode production platform.
Joe Bartolacci, Matthews' CEO, dropped a bombshell during the Q2 2024 earnings call, revealing plans for a production-scale dry battery electrode system. This system, he asserts, could dramatically shorten the adoption cycle of this game-changing technology. Why is this so significant? Because, as Bartolacci eloquently puts it, dry battery electrode technology delivers a "cheaper and better battery."
Imagine a world where electric vehicles are no longer burdened by the cost and complexity of traditional battery production. Dry battery electrode technology promises lower investment costs, reduced operating expenses, faster build-outs, enhanced battery performance, and a clean, solvent-free production process. It's a trifecta of efficiency, sustainability, and cost-effectiveness.
While the broader electric vehicle market is experiencing a cool-down, Matthews is seeing a surge in inquiries for their dry battery electrode solutions. This interest is fueled, in part, by the impending expiration of certain patents in July, unleashing a wave of potential competitors eager to capitalize on this technology.
Matthews, however, isn't sitting idly by. They are investing heavily in their production platform, committing $40 million in capital expenditures over the next 12 to 18 months. This investment isn't just about scaling up production; it's about creating a standardized, "serialized" manufacturing process that eliminates much of the customization and lengthy testing currently required for adoption.
Think of it as a pre-built, production-ready platform that customers can plug their own formulations into, allowing them to rapidly test and validate their dry battery electrode production. It's a bold move, a calculated gamble, but one with the potential for massive returns.
Here's where the numbers start to get truly exciting. Matthews estimates that their total addressable market for dry battery electrode technology exceeds $8 billion. Even capturing a fraction of that market could translate to explosive revenue growth for the company.
The following chart illustrates a hypothetical scenario of Matthews' potential revenue growth based on capturing varying percentages of the $8 billion addressable market for dry battery electrode technology.
But there's another intriguing piece to this puzzle. Matthews' Q2 transcript also highlights their foray into the hydrogen fuel cell market, securing their first significant production order and engaging in discussions for a joint development facility with a major US OEM. This suggests a diversification strategy that leverages their existing expertise in energy solutions to explore a parallel, rapidly evolving market.
So, could Matthews International be a sleeping giant about to awaken? It's a hypothesis worth considering. If their dry battery electrode platform proves successful in accelerating adoption, Matthews could find themselves at the forefront of a revolution, riding a wave of demand that could reshape the electric vehicle industry and send shockwaves through Wall Street.
"Fun Fact: Matthews International is also the company behind the iconic Oscar statuettes awarded at the Academy Awards. So, from immortalizing cinematic legends to potentially powering the future of transportation, Matthews International's reach is truly remarkable."