January 1, 1970 - MDIBY

Mediobanca's Silent Revolution: Is a Buy-Now-Pay-Later Bombshell About to Explode?

Mediobanca, the venerable Italian financial institution, often flies under the radar of American investors. Traded on the pink sheets under the ticker MDIBY, it's seen as a solid, if unexciting, regional bank with a focus on traditional banking services. But a closer look at their recent financial data reveals a fascinating trend, one with the potential to transform Mediobanca from a sleepy European stalwart into a global fintech powerhouse.

The key lies in a seemingly innocuous line nestled within the description of their Consumer Banking segment: "The Consumer Banking segment provides a range of consumer credit products comprising personal and special-purpose loans, salary-backed finances, and credit cards, as well as Pagolight, a buy-now-pay-later solution."

Pagolight: The Potential BNPL Bombshell

Pagolight. Remember that name. Because if our analysis is correct, this unassuming buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) platform could be Mediobanca's secret weapon, poised to propel them into a market currently dominated by the likes of Klarna, Affirm, and Afterpay.

Here's why this is so intriguing: Mediobanca's financial data reveals a startling level of stability in a period of global economic turbulence. Their operating margins have remained consistently strong, hovering around 53.9% TTM, while their quarterly revenue growth demonstrates a steady upward trajectory, hitting 19.7% year-on-year. This resilience, particularly in their Consumer Banking segment, suggests a powerful underlying driver.

Provident's Q3 2024 earnings call revealed the following figures:

QuarterLoans Repricing Upwards (USD)Projected Weighted Average Rate Increase (Basis Points)Initial Weighted Average RateProjected Weighted Average Rate
June 2024$98.2 million896.98%7.88%
September 2024$108.4 million357.71%8.06%