April 30, 2024 - MBGAF

Mercedes-Benz's Secret Weapon: How Plug-in Hybrids Could Save Their 2024 and Beyond

While the world is going crazy for all-electric vehicles, a quiet change is happening in the automotive industry – and Mercedes-Benz might be leading the way. In their recent Q1 2024 earnings call transcript, they subtly hinted at a strategy that could change their future: using plug-in hybrid vehicles in a smart way.

At first glance, Mercedes-Benz's Q1 results show some difficulties: problems with the supply chain, slower adoption of EVs, and a return on sales for cars at 9%, lower than their 10-12% goal. But among these worries, CFO Harald Wilhelm gave an exciting clue. He talked about the importance of plug-in hybrids, calling them a valuable tool for Mercedes-Benz during the uncertain time of switching to EVs.

Why is this a big deal? Because it suggests that Mercedes-Benz might be changing their approach. They still want to go all-electric in the long run, but the way to get there might not be so straightforward.

Mercedes-Benz admits they don't have EVs in every important category right now, especially in the lower and middle price ranges where most EVs are being sold. Their new MMA platform and electric C-Class and GLC are planned for 2025 and 2026, which leaves a big gap in their EV offerings.

This is where plug-in hybrids become important. They act as a link between traditional gasoline cars and EVs, letting people drive on electricity for their daily commutes but still have a gasoline engine for longer trips. This is especially relevant in places like China and the US, where people are still worried about not having enough charging stations and the limited range of EVs.

The clever part of Mercedes-Benz's plug-in hybrid strategy is that it's very efficient. They already have a wide range of plug-in hybrids that can go 100-130 kilometers on just electricity. These cars are ready to sell – no big investments in research are needed.

Here's the idea: Mercedes-Benz, knowing the problems with their current EV selection, will use their existing plug-in hybrids to get more customers in the short term. This has several advantages:

Filling the Gap: Plug-in hybrids can be sold until the MMA platform and electric C-Class/GLC come out, helping them compete better in the growing market for medium-priced EVs. Dealing with Uncertainty: Nobody knows for sure how fast people will switch to EVs. Plug-in hybrids protect Mercedes-Benz if the change is slower than expected, making sure they don't fall behind other car companies. Profitability: Plug-in hybrids can help increase profits because they don't need much research spending, especially as the cost of materials is getting lower. This is important for Mercedes-Benz to get their return on sales back to their 10-12% target. Keeping a Good Reputation: By selling plug-in hybrids that offer a high-quality electric driving experience, Mercedes-Benz can appeal to both EV and gasoline car buyers without hurting their brand image.

Hypothetical Sales Projection: Mercedes-Benz Plug-in Hybrids

The following chart shows a potential increase in plug-in hybrid sales for Mercedes-Benz, based on the hypothesis presented in the article.

This strategy could be a big win for Mercedes-Benz. They can aggressively market their existing plug-in hybrids, which have great electric range and performance, in key markets. They could offer good prices, making use of the lower material costs and efficient operations. This would not only increase sales but also make their profit margins better.

If plug-in hybrids become successful, it could have significant effects in the long run. It could influence government decisions about EV adoption goals, leading to a more realistic approach. It could also mean that gasoline cars might be around for longer, especially in types of cars where switching to all-electric isn't easy.

Mercedes-Benz Financial Highlights (Q1 2024)

MetricValue
Return on Sales (Cars)9%
Return on Sales (Vans)16.3%
Return on Equity (Mobility)8.5%
Group EBIT Adjusted3.6%
Group EBIT Reported3.9%

Mercedes-Benz has a chance to turn what seems like a weakness into a strategic strength. By using plug-in hybrids as a step toward becoming all-electric, they can manage the uncertainties of the EV shift, stay a luxury brand, and set themselves up for success in the long term. This strategy is worth watching closely, as it could change the entire car industry.

"Fun Fact: The Mercedes-Benz three-pointed star logo represents the company's goal of dominating land, sea, and air. While their ambitions for air and sea have faded, their dominance on land continues with their innovative approach to cars."