March 20, 2024 - MOGO
Mogo, the Canadian fintech company, has been quietly making waves in the digital finance sector. They've streamlined operations, achieved consistent profitability, and are poised for aggressive growth in 2024. But beneath the surface of their seemingly straightforward narrative lies a fascinating, and potentially lucrative, undercurrent – a strategic positioning within the crypto sector that could redefine their future.
While analysts have lauded Mogo's impressive financial turnaround and its ambitious foray into wealth management, a deeper dive into their Q4 2023 and Q1 2024 earnings calls reveals a shrewdly orchestrated play in the crypto arena. It's a play that's not grabbing headlines, but is silently accruing value for Mogo and its investors.
The evidence lies in two key areas: their significant holdings in WonderFi, a publicly traded crypto exchange, and their direct investment in Bitcoin.
Let's examine Mogo's stake in WonderFi. Mogo currently owns a substantial 87 million shares, representing just under 50% of WonderFi's market capitalization. In Q1 2024, WonderFi reported impressive growth, marked by:
WonderFi's recent agreement with Coast Capital, culminating in the nomination of three new directors, indicates a strategic shift towards maximizing its growth potential. Notably, WonderFi holds a significant advantage as the only fully regulated crypto exchange in Canada, a critical differentiator in an increasingly regulated crypto landscape. (Source: Mogo Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript)
Here's where the intrigue intensifies. Mogo's market cap currently stands at approximately $42 million. Astonishingly, their investment in WonderFi alone constitutes almost 50% of that value. This implies that Mogo investors are effectively gaining exposure to a rapidly growing, strategically positioned crypto entity at a substantial discount.
Adding another layer of intrigue is Mogo's direct investment in Bitcoin. In their Q4 2023 earnings call, Greg Feller, President and CFO, articulated their conviction in Bitcoin as a store of value, subtly revealing their investment in Bitcoin and Bitcoin ETFs. (Source: Mogo Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript)
This strategic move aligns with their long-term vision of constructing a next-generation financial platform where crypto plays a central role.
Analyzing the financial data paints a compelling picture. WonderFi's impressive performance and its regulatory dominance in the Canadian market strongly suggest that its intrinsic value surpasses its current market cap. This further strengthens the argument that Mogo's investment in WonderFi is currently undervalued.
Furthermore, Bitcoin's resurgence in 2024 bolsters the value proposition of Mogo's direct crypto investments.
These factors raise a compelling question: Is Mogo strategically maneuvering itself to become a leading crypto player, using its current fintech platform as a springboard? Are they quietly assembling a diversified financial empire, encompassing traditional wealth management, payments, and a vibrant crypto ecosystem, all under one umbrella?
As crypto gains wider acceptance and its regulatory environment stabilizes, WonderFi is well-positioned to become a dominant force in the Canadian market. Mogo, by virtue of its significant holdings, could capitalize on this growth to bolster its own financial performance. Additionally, Mogo's direct Bitcoin investments, if timed strategically, could yield substantial returns, further propelling their crypto aspirations.
While it's premature to definitively declare that Mogo is building a next-gen financial empire, the evidence is undeniably persuasive. They have exhibited astute financial management, strategic foresight, and a clear vision for a future where crypto is intricately woven into the fabric of wealth creation.
Analysts have rightfully focused on Mogo's immediate success story but may have overlooked the subtle crypto strategy unfolding beneath the surface. This silent crypto coup, if executed successfully, could catapult Mogo to a leadership position in the dynamic and evolving financial landscape. For investors seeking exposure to both traditional and crypto-powered financial solutions, Mogo presents an undeniably compelling and potentially undervalued opportunity.
Mogo has shown consistent improvement in its revenue and adjusted EBITDA over recent quarters. The following chart, based on information from their earnings calls, illustrates this trend:
Source: Mogo Earnings Call Transcripts
Metric | Q4 2023 | Q1 2024 |
---|---|---|
Revenue (Millions CAD) | 17.228 | 17.925 |
Adjusted EBITDA (Millions CAD) | 2.7 | 1 |
Cash and Investments (Millions CAD) | 55 | 53 |
WonderFi Assets Under Custody (Billions CAD) | N/A | 1.6 |
WonderFi Trading Volume (Billions CAD) | N/A | 1.1 |
"Fun Fact: Mogo's commitment to environmental sustainability extends to its crypto strategy. They have partnered with Eden Reforestation Projects, planting a tree for every new MogoTrade user, offsetting the environmental impact of Bitcoin mining."