May 10, 2024 - PRRWF

Park Lawn's Secret Weapon: The Cemetery Sales Mystery No One's Talking About

The death care industry, a sector often shrouded in hushed tones and solemn nods, isn't known for its boisterous earnings calls. Yet, Park Lawn Corporation's recent Q1 2024 call buzzed with a quiet confidence, hinting at a strategic shift that could redefine their cemetery segment – and potentially, their entire business model. While analysts focused on predictable metrics like mortality rates and average revenue per call, a subtle yet significant trend emerged from the transcript: Park Lawn appears to be strategically decoupling their cemetery performance from the volatility of "Group Sales."

For years, Park Lawn, like many death care companies, has relied on these large, often pre-need cemetery plot purchases to bolster revenue, particularly in the Northeast. These sales, characterized by their unpredictable timing and substantial dollar volume, have historically introduced significant fluctuations into the company's quarterly performance. A single Group Sale could paint a rosy picture of cemetery segment strength, while its absence could lead to a perception of weakness, even when underlying metrics remained consistent.

This quarter, the narrative shifted. Park Lawn, for the first time, deliberately separated Group Sales from their general cemetery performance, unveiling a strategic move towards what they termed "Park Sales." These represent the more consistent, steady flow of individual cemetery plot purchases – the bedrock of long-term cemetery segment stability.

CEO Brad Green emphasized this point multiple times during the Q1 call, highlighting that Park Sales met expectations, exhibiting positive growth when viewed independently from Group Sales. He even went so far as to call the recent analyst focus on overall cemetery revenue decline “offensive,” suggesting a disconnect between perceived performance and the company’s internal perspective.

This shift in focus implies a significant evolution in Park Lawn’s strategy. By decoupling their performance from the boom-and-bust cycles of Group Sales, they are essentially laying the groundwork for a more predictable and sustainable cemetery segment. This move towards greater stability aligns perfectly with the company’s recent investments in operational efficiency, particularly their lauded FaCTS system.

FaCTS, Park Lawn’s integrated data platform, provides real-time operational insights, empowering managers to optimize performance with greater accuracy and speed. This granular data allows them to focus on maximizing profitability within the predictable flow of Park Sales, minimizing the need to rely on the unpredictable influx of Group Sales.

This strategic realignment raises several intriguing questions. Is Park Lawn intentionally de-emphasizing Group Sales in favor of cultivating the more stable Park Sales segment? Could this shift be driven by a desire to streamline operations and leverage the efficiency benefits offered by FaCTS?

The numbers, while still early in the year, offer tantalizing hints. Q1 2024 saw overall cemetery revenue decline by 11.9%, largely attributed to the absence of substantial Group Sales seen in the prior year. However, when stripped of this variable, comparable cemetery operations actually experienced only a marginal decrease of 2.7%, reflecting the impact of declining mortality rates. This subtle distinction hints at the potential for positive growth within Park Sales, a trend likely to become clearer as the year progresses.

If Park Lawn is indeed pivoting towards a Park Sales-centric model, the implications are significant. A more predictable and stable cemetery segment would not only appeal to investors seeking long-term value but also attract premier, independent operators seeking a partner committed to sustainable growth.

While the death care industry may not be known for its dramatic pronouncements, Park Lawn’s strategic shift whispers a powerful message: stability, predictability, and operational efficiency are the new cornerstones of success in the cemetery segment. And with their FaCTS system and laser focus on Park Sales, Park Lawn appears poised to lead the charge.

Breakdown of Cemetery Revenue (Q1 2024)

This chart visualizes the composition of Park Lawn's cemetery revenue in Q1 2024, highlighting the impact of the strategic shift away from Group Sales.

"Brad Green, CEO of Park Lawn, on the Q1 2024 Earnings Call: "When you talk about comparable growth, if you take the Group sales out of the mix, that actually happened this quarter... We specifically disclosed those Group sales now so that you guys and our investors can track them... So when you ask me when you're going to start seeing our comparable sales improve, I would say that our cemetery sales were, if you take the Group sales out of the mix, were exactly where we expected them to be this quarter, and improving... ""
"Fun Fact: The global death care industry is projected to reach a market value of over $300 billion by 2027, driven by an aging global population and evolving cultural preferences."