June 27, 2023 - PROSY

Prosus: The Silent Giant Awakens? A Deep Dive into a Hidden Financial Trend

Prosus (PROSY), the Dutch tech giant often overshadowed by its parent company Naspers, has quietly been making waves in the global tech landscape. With a portfolio encompassing diverse sectors like online classifieds, food delivery, and fintech, Prosus operates across continents, wielding a vast, intricate web of investments. While the company's sheer size and diverse portfolio often make it challenging for analysts to pinpoint specific trends, a closer look at the recent financial data reveals a compelling narrative - one of strategic restructuring and potential unlocking of shareholder value.

A curious trend emerges when examining Prosus's balance sheet over the past several quarters. Despite significant investments and acquisitions, the company has been steadily decreasing its net debt. In Q3 2023, Prosus reported a net debt of $13.31 billion, down from $15.98 billion in the previous quarter. This decrease is especially noteworthy considering the volatile market conditions and the company's continued expansion in key growth areas.

This consistent debt reduction appears to be a deliberate strategy. Prosus has been actively divesting from non-core assets and streamlining its portfolio. The sale of its stake in the Russian classifieds platform Avito, completed in Q4 2022, is a prime example of this strategy. By shedding non-strategic holdings, Prosus is not only bolstering its cash reserves but also signaling a focus on core, high-growth areas like food delivery and fintech.

This shift towards core assets is further corroborated by the company's investment activities. While overall investments have decreased in the recent quarters, this is largely attributed to the Avito divestment. Significantly, Prosus continues to invest heavily in its core businesses, including iFood, the leading food delivery platform in Latin America, and PayU, its global fintech arm.

"This strategic realignment could be the precursor to an exciting development - the unlocking of shareholder value. Historically, Prosus has traded at a discount to the sum of its parts, primarily due to the complexity of its portfolio and the perceived lack of transparency. However, by simplifying its structure and emphasizing its core assets, Prosus is laying the groundwork for a re-evaluation by the market."

The numbers further strengthen this hypothesis. Prosus's market capitalization currently stands at approximately $203.43 billion, while its net asset value (NAV) is estimated to be significantly higher. This disparity suggests a considerable potential for the company's stock to appreciate if the market recognizes the value of its core businesses.

Furthermore, Prosus's recent stock split, a 2179:1000 ratio implemented in September 2023, could also be interpreted as a move to attract a wider range of investors and increase liquidity. By making its shares more accessible, Prosus is potentially paving the way for increased demand and further stock price appreciation.

Net Debt Reduction Over Time

The following chart illustrates Prosus's net debt reduction over the past several quarters, highlighting the company's commitment to financial stability.

It's also worth noting that Prosus is not a stranger to bold moves. In 2019, the company made headlines with its $7 billion investment in Delivery Hero, a German food delivery company. This move, initially met with skepticism by some analysts, proved to be a strategic masterstroke, giving Prosus a foothold in a rapidly growing market.

This history of shrewd investments and the recent trend of strategic restructuring suggest that Prosus is poised for an exciting new chapter. While the company might not yet be a household name like its portfolio companies Tencent or Delivery Hero, it's quietly building a solid foundation for long-term growth and shareholder value creation. As Prosus continues to refine its strategy and unlock the potential of its core assets, the sleeping giant might just be awakening, ready to claim its rightful place among the world's leading tech companies.

"Fun Fact: Despite its global reach, Prosus is a relatively young company, having been established in 2019 as a spin-off from Naspers. Its name is a clever portmanteau of "Prosperity" and "Us," reflecting its ambition to build a prosperous future for its stakeholders."