February 27, 2024 - RSG

Republic Services: The Invisible Threat to Tesla's Domination?

Buried within the seemingly mundane world of waste management lies a story that could shake the very foundations of electric vehicle dominance. Republic Services, a seemingly unassuming company focused on trash and recycling, is quietly building a network that could pose a long-term threat to Tesla's charging infrastructure dominance.

Yes, you read that right. Republic Services, the company you think of when you hear the rumble of a garbage truck, might be the sleeping giant in the EV charging game. And their latest earnings transcript reveals a strategy that even the most astute Wall Street analysts seem to have overlooked.

Most of the conversation around Republic Services focuses on their core business: pricing, volume trends, and the impact of acquisitions. But nestled within the transcript are intriguing details about their commitment to fleet electrification and the development of a nationwide EV charging network.

Let's start with the numbers. Republic Services currently operates 15 electric collection vehicles and plans to add more than 50 more in 2024. That's significant growth in a fleet that already boasts seven facilities with commercial EV charging infrastructure. But the real kicker? They're developing 40 *additional* EV charging locations, with more than 10 expected to be completed this year alone.

Now, imagine a scenario where Republic Services leverages its existing network of landfills, transfer stations, and recycling centers to create a vast network of conveniently located EV charging stations. These facilities are strategically positioned across the country, often near major highways and industrial areas.

This is where the potential threat to Tesla emerges. While Tesla has established a robust Supercharger network, it primarily caters to long-distance travel. Republic Services, on the other hand, could target a different segment – the commercial fleet market and everyday drivers who need convenient charging options near their homes and workplaces.

Republic Services EV Charging Infrastructure Growth

The following chart illustrates the growth of Republic Services' EV charging infrastructure.

Consider these factors:

Strategic Location: Republic Services already owns the land for these charging stations, eliminating a significant barrier to entry faced by other charging network developers.

Existing Infrastructure: Many of their facilities already have the electrical capacity needed for high-powered charging, reducing development costs and timelines.

Commercial Fleet Expertise: Republic Services already operates a massive fleet of vehicles and has the experience and infrastructure to manage and maintain a charging network for commercial fleets.

Sustainability Synergy: A charging network aligns perfectly with their existing sustainability initiatives, enhancing their brand image and attracting environmentally conscious customers.

This potential scenario hasn't gone unnoticed by the market entirely. Republic Services has been recognized for its sustainability efforts, earning a spot on Barron's 100 Most Sustainable Companies list, Ethisphere's World's Most Ethical Companies list, and Fortune's Most Innovative Companies List.

While Republic Services' management hasn't explicitly stated their intentions to build a public EV charging network, the pieces are falling into place. They're building a substantial charging infrastructure to support their own fleet electrification efforts. The next logical step? Opening this infrastructure to the public, creating a formidable competitor to Tesla's Supercharger network and potentially revolutionizing the commercial EV charging landscape.

This isn't just about who has the most charging stations. It's about who can create the most convenient, accessible, and cost-effective charging experience for a wider range of customers. And Republic Services, armed with its existing infrastructure and operational expertise, might be the dark horse in this race, poised to disrupt the EV charging landscape in the years to come.

Keep in mind, this is a hypothesis based on subtle clues buried within a seemingly ordinary earnings transcript. But sometimes, the most disruptive innovations emerge from the most unexpected places. And Republic Services might just be the company to turn trash into treasure, literally.

"Fun Fact: The average garbage truck in the United States travels about 100 miles per day. If fully electrified, Republic Services' fleet of over 16,000 trucks could potentially eliminate millions of gallons of diesel fuel consumption annually."