May 8, 2024 - RMBL

RumbleOn's Used Motorcycle Magic: A Hidden Gem in Plain Sight?

RumbleOn, the nation's largest powersports retailer (RMBL), is undergoing a significant transformation. New CEO, Mike Kennedy, has unveiled "Vision 2026," a bold plan to drive the company to new heights of profitability. While analysts are focused on the broader strategic strokes of cost-cutting and refinancing, a deeper dive into the Q1 2024 transcript reveals a hidden gem with potentially explosive growth potential: RumbleOn's Cash Offer tool.

The powersports industry, like its automotive cousin, is navigating a challenging environment. High interest rates and lingering economic uncertainty are putting pressure on new vehicle sales. RumbleOn, with an inventory heavier on new units than pre-owned, is feeling this pinch acutely. Yet, amidst these headwinds, the pre-owned segment is quietly exhibiting remarkable resilience.

A closer examination of the Q1 2024 transcript reveals the magic at play. Blake Lawson, RumbleOn's CFO, unveils a fascinating insight: pre-owned unit gross margins soared to 17.5% in Q1 2024, compared to a paltry 11% in the same quarter last year. Even more compelling is the revelation that this margin strength isn't solely driven by the year-end inventory write-down, which impacted only about half of the pre-owned units sold.

Instead, the true driver appears to be the RideNow Cash Offer tool. This technology, previously siloed within the company, is now being fully integrated into dealership operations. The results are startling. Cash Offer-acquired inventory, accounting for roughly half of pre-owned sales, is boasting gross profit margins in the 19% to 20% range, comparable to those achieved through traditional trade-ins.

Is RideNow Cash Offer a Secret Weapon?

This raises a tantalizing hypothesis: Is the RideNow Cash Offer a secret weapon, poised to unlock a new era of profitability for RumbleOn?

The numbers suggest the possibility. If RumbleOn can consistently acquire pre-owned inventory at lower costs through the Cash Offer tool while maintaining those impressive margins, they have a significant competitive advantage in a market where pre-owned sales are traditionally more profitable.

The company's plan to pilot a standalone pre-owned dealership later this year adds further intrigue. By leveraging its vast buying power and operational expertise, RumbleOn could potentially replicate this success in a focused pre-owned retail environment.

A Glimpse into the Future

Imagine a future where RumbleOn, fueled by the Cash Offer engine, becomes the dominant force in the pre-owned powersports market. They could achieve significant scale, acquiring inventory at lower prices, refurbishing it efficiently, and retailing it at attractive margins. The potential for rapid revenue and profitability growth is immense.

Challenges and Opportunities

Of course, challenges remain. The pilot pre-owned dealership needs to demonstrate success. RumbleOn must continue to refine its Cash Offer integration and ensure seamless coordination between online acquisition and dealership operations.

But the early signs are undeniably promising. While the broader powersports market grapples with uncertainty, RumbleOn's pre-owned segment, powered by the RideNow Cash Offer, is quietly generating exciting results. It's a development that could well redefine the company's trajectory and propel it towards its ambitious Vision 2026 goals.

RumbleOn's Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

The following is a table summarizing key financial data from RumbleOn's Q1 2024 earnings call, extracted from the transcript.

Source: Seeking Alpha

Previous Transcript - Seeking Alpha

Gross Profit Margin Comparison

This chart compares the gross profit margins of new and pre-owned units in Q1 2024 and Q1 2023, showcasing the impressive performance of the pre-owned segment, likely driven by the RideNow Cash Offer tool.

"Fun Fact: Did you know that the average age of a motorcycle owner in the United States is 47 years old? That's a testament to the enduring appeal of the powersports lifestyle!"