May 16, 2024 - SGGEF

Sage's European Gambit: Hiding in Plain Sight?

Sage Group plc, a leading provider of accounting software for small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs), recently announced their first-half 2024 earnings. While initial reports highlighted steady growth, a closer look reveals a potential strategic shift: a renewed focus on the European market.

Shifting Focus: From US to Europe?

While the US market has been a significant driver for Sage's growth, CEO Steve Hare expressed surprising confidence in Europe's potential during the earnings call. This, coupled with recent strategic moves like the launch of Sage Intacct in France and Germany, and Sage Active across France, Germany, and Spain, suggests a deliberate effort to tap into Europe's less-saturated cloud market.

Revenue Growth: A Tale of Two Markets

The data supports this hypothesis. Although North America accounts for almost half of Sage's revenue, its growth has slightly dipped year-over-year. Europe, while growing at a more modest pace, has doubled its growth rate in the past year, indicating a promising market ready for Sage's expansion.

European Opportunity: A Fragmented Landscape

Hare pointed out that the European market is "much more fragmented" than the US, which is dominated by a few key players. This fragmentation, often characterized by smaller, nationally-focused competitors, presents a unique opportunity for Sage. The company's history of market consolidation and ability to leverage global scale could give it a significant advantage in Europe.

Sage's Strategy: Network Expansion and AI-Powered Services

Sage aims to leverage its existing product portfolio, led by Sage Intacct and Sage Active, and deploy it across the less-penetrated European market. The company's "secret weapon" is the Sage Network, an open platform that facilitates the connection of business ecosystems and digitization of workflows, regardless of the accounting software used. This approach has been particularly effective with the accounts payable automation service, where processed invoices have doubled in six months.

The Long Game: Building a European Ecosystem

Sage acknowledges that building a strong channel partner network in Europe will take time. Training partners, earning their trust, and adapting products to local needs are all part of the process. However, the potential payoff is substantial. Europe's lower cloud adoption rates compared to the US mean there's a large pool of potential customers waiting to be integrated into the Sage Network.

Conclusion: A New Era of Growth?

While Sage is not abandoning the US market, the company appears to be strategically positioning itself for a future where Europe plays a much larger role in its growth strategy. This subtle shift in focus, hinted at in the earnings call, could unlock a new era of growth for Sage, further cementing its position as a leader in the global SMB accounting software market.

"Fun Fact: Sage's name was inspired by the herb sage, known for its symbolism of wisdom and longevity. The founders' vision was a company that would endure and provide insightful solutions – a vision that seems to be coming to fruition with Sage's strategic move toward Europe."