February 21, 2024 - WTTR

Select Water Solutions: Is This Tiny Detail the Key to Unlocking a Tidal Wave of Profits?

While Wall Street focuses on Select Water Solution's (NYSE: WTTR) impressive year-over-year growth in revenue and EBITDA, a subtle shift in their Q1 2024 earnings call transcript reveals a potentially explosive catalyst for future profitability: the evolving relationship between their chemical technology and water infrastructure segments.

On the surface, these two segments appear distinct. Chemical technologies provides specialized chemicals for oil and gas operations, while water infrastructure focuses on the physical systems for water management - pipelines, disposal wells, and recycling facilities. Yet, a closer examination of the Q1 transcript reveals a growing synergy between these two seemingly disparate businesses, a synergy that could drive substantial margin expansion and propel Select Water Solutions to a dominant position in the energy services landscape.

This emerging dynamic is most evident in the company's increasing emphasis on produced water reuse. As the oil and gas industry prioritizes sustainability and faces growing regulatory pressure around water disposal, the demand for produced water recycling is exploding. This shift isn't merely about treating produced water to make it usable again; it's about creating a closed-loop system where water is continuously recycled and reused within the production process.

Here's where the magic happens. The more complex the water recycling process becomes, the greater the need for advanced chemical solutions. Select Water Solutions, with its integrated water and chemical platform, is uniquely positioned to capitalize on this trend.

"....reusing produced water necessitates 'matching that with more specialty chemical application in that completion fluid system that's going down hole to complete the well.' In other words, recycling isn't just a water infrastructure play; it's a chemical technology opportunity. - Michael Skarke, Executive Vice President and COO, Select Water Solutions Q1 2024 Earnings Call"

The financial implications of this synergy are significant. As chemical technologies becomes increasingly intertwined with water infrastructure, Select Water Solutions can command higher margins for its chemical products. Rather than selling commoditized chemicals, they're providing customized, value-added solutions essential for the efficient operation of complex water recycling systems.

The numbers tell a compelling story. While chemical technologies currently represents a smaller portion of Select's overall revenue, its margins are already impressive, hovering around 17%-19%. Imagine the potential if this segment captures a larger share of the burgeoning produced water reuse market, fueled by its symbiotic relationship with water infrastructure.

"The integration of chemical technologies into water infrastructure is 'still a relatively small portion' of the segment's revenue. However, he emphasized its importance as a source of 'stable and attractive rates to support our infrastructure.' This cautious optimism suggests a significant upside as the integration deepens. - Chris George, EVP and CFO, Select Water Solutions Q1 2024 Earnings Call"

This dynamic extends beyond the Permian, where produced water reuse is most prevalent. As other basins like the DJ, Bakken, and Marcellus adopt similar practices, Select Water Solutions' integrated platform will become even more valuable. The company's multi-basin reach, combined with its synergistic chemical and infrastructure capabilities, positions it as a potential one-stop shop for the evolving water management needs of the energy industry.

Projected Growth in Water Infrastructure

The following chart displays Select Water Solution's projected revenue and gross profit growth for their Water Infrastructure segment, based on data from their Q1 2024 earnings call.

Key Numbers & Hypothesis

MetricValue
Chemical Technologies Current Margin17%-19%
Water Infrastructure Projected 2024 Revenue Growth30%-40%
Water Infrastructure Projected 2024 Gross Profit Growth40%-50%
Water Infrastructure % of Corporate Gross Profit (Target, End of 2025)50%

Hypothesis:

Increased adoption of produced water reuse will drive demand for Select's specialty chemicals, leading to higher margins for the chemical technologies segment.

As the chemical technologies segment grows and becomes more integrated with water infrastructure, it will contribute a significantly larger percentage to the company's overall profitability.

Select Water Solutions' integrated platform and multi-basin reach will give them a competitive advantage in the rapidly evolving water management landscape.

While Wall Street celebrates Select Water Solutions' impressive top-line growth, this deeper analysis of the Q1 transcript reveals a more nuanced and potentially even more powerful story - a story of technological synergy, strategic positioning, and a potential tidal wave of profits driven by the increasing integration of chemical technology and water infrastructure.

The potential for Select Water Solutions is vast. As the energy industry embraces sustainable practices, the company's ability to combine specialized chemicals with advanced water infrastructure could unlock a wave of profits far exceeding Wall Street's current expectations. This subtle shift in strategy, revealed in the Q1 transcript, might just be the key to unlocking Select Water Solutions' true potential.

"Fun Fact: Produced water, the wastewater generated during oil and gas production, is often highly saline, containing dissolved minerals and hydrocarbons. In fact, some produced water is saltier than seawater! This makes the treatment and reuse of produced water a complex and challenging but essential task for sustainable energy production."