January 30, 2024 - SWKS
Hidden within Skyworks Solutions' recent Q2 2024 earnings call is a revelation causing a stir in the tech industry: the company's Android business, once a choppy sea of inventory corrections and erratic growth spurts, has subtly become remarkably stable. While analysts scrutinize the implications of a transient inventory correction and a solitary socket loss at Skyworks' biggest client, a more profound narrative is emerging. Skyworks isn't simply riding out the storm; it's strategically placing itself at the vanguard of a transformation that could reshape the smartphone arena – the rise of generative AI in mobile devices.
This discovery comes as Skyworks discloses that its Android business is "approaching $100 million a quarter," a long way from the heady heights of $200 million witnessed during the COVID-driven demand surge, yet noticeably consistent in recent quarters. While CFO Kris Sennesael acknowledges the difficulty of recapturing those past pinnacles, his words hint at a deliberate change, stating that the company isn't keen on "sliding down in the mid or low end of the market." This echoes CEO Liam Griffin's assertion that Skyworks' attention in Android is firmly on "high-end players" – Google and Samsung – where the company revels in "strong engagement" and is observing "very well" accelerating product cycles.
The message is clear: Skyworks is prioritizing quality over quantity, strategically partnering with Android's powerhouses in readiness for a paradigm shift steered by generative AI. As the industry wrestles with the power demands of on-device AI, Skyworks is quietly accumulating the resources and proficiency to provide "elegant new solutions" customized for a future where smartphones are not only connected but genuinely intelligent.
This strategic pivot is further substantiated by Skyworks' expanded R&D investments, notably in areas vital for AI-enabled devices: power efficiency, integration, low latency, and spectral efficiency. Although the company recognizes the margin strain inherent in the fiercely competitive Android market, they are self-assured in their capacity to counterbalance this through a blend of strategic pricing, in-house manufacturing scale, and a steadfast pursuit of cost reduction measures.
"CFO Kris Sennesael emphasizes Skyworks' strategic focus on profitability over market share in the highly competitive Android market, stating, "We are not sliding down in the mid or low end of the market. We stay at the high end. We stay at the high-performance part. And in that part of the market, you compete based on performance. It's not a price competition. You compete based on performance. And again, that's why gross margins are somewhat the same in -- with all the customers in that segment.""
The chart below illustrates Skyworks' Android revenue trend, demonstrating its stabilization around $100 million per quarter.
The figures tell a compelling tale. If Skyworks' present Android revenue pace of $100 million per quarter persists, the company is on track to produce $400 million in yearly revenue from this sector. Although this is half the peak observed in fiscal 2022, it signifies a sturdy base for future expansion, particularly as AI-powered Android gadgets begin to gain momentum in the marketplace.
Moreover, Skyworks' strategic concentration on the premium segment, coupled with its expertise in power-efficient and highly integrated RF solutions, positions it to secure a substantial portion of the value generated by this new surge of intelligent Android devices. Herein lies the true potential, not in pursuing volume, but in providing leading-edge solutions for a market segment on the brink of a significant technological advancement.
Beyond the immediate financial ramifications, Skyworks' subtle change in Android indicates a wider pattern in the semiconductor industry – a transition from accommodating established markets to foreseeing and empowering the next wave of technological innovation. The smartphone, once a marvel of connectivity, is poised to become an extension of our intelligence, and Skyworks is discreetly ensuring it has a place at the table when that future arrives.
"Fun Fact: Skyworks Solutions, established in 1962 as Alpha Industries, began by producing microwave components for defense and space applications – a far cry from today's sophisticated smartphone chips!"