May 13, 2024 - STXS
Stereotaxis, the "robotic surgery" company, has been chugging along for years, struggling to gain traction despite its futuristic technology. Analysts and investors alike have focused on the company's robotic systems, pinning hopes on the new, mobile Genesis system and its potential to revolutionize cardiac ablation procedures. But a close examination of the Q1 2024 earnings call transcript reveals a hidden truth: Stereotaxis' future might not hinge on robots at all, but on a far more mundane medical device – the humble catheter.
This isn't just a gut feeling. The company's own words, and more importantly, their actions, point to a strategic shift, a pivot towards becoming a leading player in the lucrative catheter market. This unheralded transformation has flown under the radar, overshadowed by the allure of robotic surgery. But the numbers don't lie.
While Stereotaxis' leadership continues to tout the potential of their robotic systems, their recent acquisition of APT Medical, a manufacturer of diagnostic catheters, speaks volumes. This isn't just about acquiring technology, it's about acquiring expertise. Stereotaxis has publicly admitted their reliance on contract manufacturers for interventional devices has been a limiting factor. APT brings in-house development and manufacturing capabilities, setting the stage for Stereotaxis to become a powerhouse in the catheter arena.
The financial details of the APT acquisition are telling. While upfront payments are relatively modest, the bulk of the consideration is tied to regulatory and commercial milestones, specifically focused on robotically steered catheters for both electrophysiology and endovascular applications. This incentivizes APT's team to rapidly innovate and develop catheters tailored for Stereotaxis' robotic systems. But there's more to it than that.
Stereotaxis projects APT to contribute approximately $5 million in annual revenue during the first year post-acquisition. This revenue stems from APT's existing portfolio of manually navigated catheters, which Stereotaxis plans to aggressively market in the US leveraging their existing sales force. This signifies a clear intent to generate immediate revenue from catheters, not just robots.
David Fischel, Stereotaxis' CEO, emphasized this point during the earnings call, stating their goal is not to be "a generic catheter distributor, but really to add value in a differentiated way." This signals a focus on specialized, high-value catheters, precisely the type APT excels in producing.
The company's statements about their proprietary MAGiC catheter further bolster this hypothesis. While they remain optimistic about MAGiC's approval and anticipate some revenue contribution in the latter half of 2024, it's worth noting their full-year revenue guidance does not include any MAGiC projections. This suggests they are cautiously managing expectations around MAGiC, perhaps aware of the potential regulatory hurdles and manufacturing ramp-up challenges.
Furthermore, Stereotaxis' recurring revenue remains heavily reliant on Johnson & Johnson's catheters, creating a vulnerability exacerbated by J&J's ongoing supply chain issues. This dependency underscores the strategic importance of MAGiC and, by extension, the APT acquisition. Developing a robust in-house catheter portfolio not only diversifies Stereotaxis' revenue streams but also insulates them from the whims of external suppliers.
Here's the clincher. While everyone's focused on the robotic system's potential to unlock a multi-billion dollar market in endovascular procedures, this market remains inaccessible without the right tools. Stereotaxis' new guidewire, while promising, is only the tip of the iceberg. APT's expertise will be crucial in developing a comprehensive suite of endovascular catheters and guidewires, the true key to unlocking this vast market.
The pieces are falling into place. Stereotaxis is laying the groundwork for a strategic shift that could redefine their future. While robotics remains their core technology, catheters are quietly becoming their secret weapon, a means to achieve immediate revenue growth, strategic independence, and long-term dominance in a rapidly expanding market.
This transformation has largely gone unnoticed, overshadowed by the glitter of robotic surgery. But for investors seeking a hidden gem, a company poised for explosive growth in a multi-billion dollar market, Stereotaxis, the "catheter company disguised as a robotic surgery company," deserves a closer look.
The following chart illustrates the projected revenue contribution from APT Medical's manually navigated catheters in the first year post-acquisition, based on information from the Q1 2024 earnings call. It highlights the company's focus on immediate revenue generation from the catheter market.
"Fun Fact: The global catheter market size was valued at USD 54.6 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.4% from 2023 to 2030. This presents a significant opportunity for Stereotaxis to capitalize on its catheter strategy."