May 16, 2024 - AUID
Hidden beneath the dense jargon of authID's Q1 2024 earnings call transcript lies a tantalizing possibility: this small company, grappling with financial limitations and a nascent revenue stream, could be sitting on a technology poised to disrupt the multi-billion dollar identity verification market. Their weapon of choice? Biometric authentication with a twist—a powerful defense against the emerging threat of deep fakes.
authID is moving beyond traditional passwords and SMS codes, leveraging the unique nature of our faces and fingerprints for secure digital identity verification. But what sets them apart is their focus on combating a threat exacerbated by the rise of artificial intelligence: deep fakes.
CEO Rhon Daguro paints a chilling picture during the call. Using readily available AI tools, a fraudster can create a convincing deep fake video, hijack your camera sensor during online account creation, and bypass conventional security measures. authID's platform, however, detected and thwarted this attack in under a second, demonstrating the strength of its liveness and injection attack defenses.
This capability positions authID at the vanguard of a security revolution. Daguro emphasizes the flawed assumption underpinning current authentication methods: that the device holder is the legitimate owner. In a world increasingly reliant on digital identities for financial security, this assumption is no longer viable.
The implications of authID's technology are massive. The global identity and access management market, currently valued at $18 billion, is projected to reach $80 billion in the coming years. authID, with its focus on advanced biometrics and deep fake defense, is well-placed to seize a significant portion of this expanding market.
However, authID faces significant hurdles. As a small company in the early stages of revenue generation, they acknowledge the need for further funding to support growth and meet the demands of larger enterprise clients. Q1 2024 revenue of $0.16 million, while a considerable increase year-over-year, falls short of the projected $1.4 - $1.6 million for the full year, let alone the potential billions in the future.
Reaching these ambitious goals hinges on securing contracts with large enterprise clients and successfully onboarding them onto their platform. Daguro outlines a multi-pronged strategy: expanding their channel partner program (leveraging relationships with IBM and Centro) and focusing their direct sales team on "FAT 100" accounts—large enterprises with high revenue potential.
Two key metrics reveal the potential scale of authID's opportunity. Their "remaining performance obligation" (RPO), representing minimum revenue from signed contracts, is currently $4.03 million but is projected to reach $12 - $13 million by year-end. This dramatic increase hints at a substantial influx of new contracts, especially from those coveted FAT 100 clients.
Furthermore, authID is already processing a significant user volume. CTO Tom Szoke reveals they processed 500,000 users in Q1 alone. While not directly tied to revenue, this underscores the scalability and robustness of their platform. Onboarding larger clients with millions of users could lead to exponential growth in this figure.
The crucial question is: Can authID convert its potential into tangible financial results? The following table outlines authID's projected revenue growth and the stark contrast between current revenue and long-term market potential:
Metric | Q1 2024 | Projected 2024 | Long-Term Potential
------- | -------- | -------- | --------
Revenue | $0.16 Million | $1.4 - $1.6 Million | Billions
The chart below visually represents authID's ambitious RPO growth target, a crucial indicator of their ability to secure large enterprise contracts:
The longer it takes to secure these large clients and integrate their intricate systems, the more vulnerable authID becomes to its own financial constraints. A secondary offering is necessary, but its timing and success likely depend on demonstrable progress in bookings and revenue generation. Will authID defuse their own time bomb? Can they secure the necessary funding and market traction to capitalize on their immense potential before their financial runway expires? The world is watching.
"Fun Fact: The human face has 43 muscles responsible for expressions. authID's technology leverages the subtle interplay of these muscles during liveness detection to ensure the person being authenticated is a real, live individual and not a sophisticated deep fake."