May 7, 2023 - USDP

The Ghost Train: How USD Partners is Quietly Building a Biofuel Empire

There's a ghost train rumbling across the North American landscape. It's not carrying spectral passengers, but rather, a cargo that could be the key to a cleaner energy future: biofuels. And at the helm of this phantom fleet is USD Partners LP (USDP), a company whose financial data whispers of a strategy that may have flown under the radar of most analysts.

While USDP's primary business has traditionally been the transportation of crude oil, a closer look at their recent financial data reveals a compelling shift. The company's company description explicitly mentions a focus on 'biofuels and other energy-related products,' a clue that shouldn't be dismissed.

Here's where the ghost train comes into play. USDP operates the West Colton Terminal, a facility capable of handling unit trains - massive freight trains dedicated to transporting a single commodity. This terminal, according to the company description, transloads 'approximately 13,000 barrels per day of ethanol and renewable diesel received by rail from producers onto trucks.' This is no small feat. 13,000 barrels per day translates to almost 550,000 gallons of biofuel moving through this single terminal every single day.

Now, imagine those unit trains, laden with biofuel, silently crisscrossing the continent. They represent not just a logistical marvel but a powerful symbol of USDP's strategic shift. This isn't just about dabbling in biofuels; it's about positioning themselves as a key player in a burgeoning industry.

The Numbers Tell a Story

Let's delve into the numbers. While USDP's current market cap is relatively modest at $3,775,978 [Source: Financial Data], their gross profit for the trailing twelve months (TTM) stands at a hefty $69,431,000 [Source: Financial Data]. This suggests a lean and efficient operation, one that could easily scale up as the demand for biofuels increases.

Furthermore, the company's recent income statements show a consistent gross profit even in quarters where net income fluctuated [Source: Financial Data]. This points to the inherent strength of their core operations and their ability to generate revenue regardless of broader market volatility.

Riding the Biofuel Wave

Here's where the hypothesis gets truly interesting. USDP's commitment to biofuels isn't just about environmental responsibility; it's a savvy business decision. The biofuel market is projected to grow significantly in the coming years, driven by government regulations and consumer demand for sustainable options. By establishing themselves early as a reliable transporter of biofuels, USDP is positioning themselves to capture a significant portion of this expanding market.

Consider this: the International Energy Agency projects that global biofuel demand will increase by 28% between 2022 and 2027 [Renewables 2023 Report]. This is a massive growth opportunity, and USDP, with their existing infrastructure and expertise in rail transportation, is perfectly poised to capitalize on it.

The company's fleet of 200 railcars [Source: USD Partners Website] might seem modest, but it represents a starting point. As biofuel demand increases, so too will the need for specialized transport. USDP could easily expand their fleet, leveraging their relationship with USD Partners GP LLC, their general partner, to secure financing and strategic guidance.

There's a sense of stealth about USDP's biofuel strategy. Their financial data doesn't scream about it; it whispers, offering clues to those willing to listen closely. And while other analysts might be focused on the company's traditional crude oil business, the discerning investor can see the ghost train taking shape, its cargo holding the promise of a cleaner, more sustainable future - and substantial profits for those who board early.

"Fun Fact: USDP's Stroud Terminal in Oklahoma is located near the site of the historic 'Stroud Oil Field,' one of the earliest major oil discoveries in the state. This connection to the history of energy production highlights USDP's deep roots in the energy sector and their understanding of its evolution."