May 14, 2024 - DYNDF
Dye & Durham, the legal tech giant, just released their Q3 2024 earnings transcript, and while analysts are busy dissecting revenue growth and EBITDA margins, there's a hidden gem buried within the text. This seemingly innocuous detail could point to a massive undervaluation of the company, and savvy investors need to pay attention.
The clue lies in the subtle shift in language when discussing revenue streams. Dye & Durham has been diligently diversifying away from volatile real estate transaction revenue, aiming to increase the proportion of predictable, recurring revenue. Their efforts have been successful, with Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) hitting 30% of total revenue in Q3, exceeding their target ahead of schedule.
But here's the kicker: Dye & Durham introduced a new metric, "Annual Contracted Revenue," which encompasses ARR and other contracted revenue streams, like overages on minimum spend contracts and service agreements with large financial institutions. This new metric clocked in at a whopping 53% of total revenue in Q3.
Analysts have largely glossed over this new metric, but it reveals a crucial insight: Dye & Durham is transitioning to a much more stable and predictable revenue model than previously understood. The reliance on transactional revenue is rapidly shrinking, while contracted revenue, with its inherent stickiness and visibility, is becoming the dominant force.
The following chart illustrates the projected growth of Dye & Durham's Annual Contracted Revenue based on the calculations presented in the article.
This shift has profound implications for Dye & Durham's valuation. Traditionally, companies with high proportions of recurring revenue trade at significantly higher multiples compared to those reliant on transactional revenue. As Dye & Durham's revenue model transforms, so should its valuation.
The market has yet to fully grasp the magnitude of this shift. Analysts continue to focus on historical metrics and real estate exposure, failing to appreciate the rapidly emerging dominance of contracted revenue. This creates a compelling opportunity for investors who recognize the potential for multiple expansion as the market catches on.
Dye & Durham is more than just numbers on a balance sheet. They are the invisible backbone of legal and financial transactions, quietly processing millions of critical actions every day. They have a virtual monopoly in key areas of the legal tech market, providing essential services to law firms and financial institutions worldwide. Their reach is global, and their impact is profound, yet they remain a hidden champion, quietly generating immense value.
The stage is set for a re-rating of Dye & Durham. As the contracted revenue story unfolds, investors will begin to see the true value of this legal tech powerhouse. The hidden clue in their transcript points to a company poised for significant upside, and those who recognize it now stand to reap substantial rewards.
"Fun Fact: Dye & Durham processed over 15 million real estate transactions in 2023 alone, playing a crucial role in facilitating property ownership and transfer across multiple continents. That's like processing the entire real estate market of a major city every month!"