April 25, 2024 - EW

The Hidden Engine Powering Edwards Lifesciences' Future: It's Not What You Think

Edwards Lifesciences, the global leader in structural heart disease treatments, just announced a strong first quarter, exceeding even the most optimistic analysts' expectations. While the market fixates on the buzzworthy EVOQUE tricuspid valve replacement system and the potential for explosive growth in the TMTT segment, a more subtle, yet potentially even more powerful, story is unfolding in their surgical business. This story, hidden in plain sight within the Q1 2024 earnings call transcript, hints at a paradigm shift in how Edwards approaches patient care and could be the catalyst for unlocking unprecedented market expansion.

The key lies in Edwards' relentless pursuit of advanced tissue technology, culminating in their groundbreaking RESILIA tissue. While RESILIA has been woven into their comprehensive portfolio, with a presence in both TAVR and surgical heart valve replacements, the company is signaling a much grander ambition: lifetime management of heart valve patients.

Edwards is not just selling valves; they are laying the groundwork for a recurring revenue stream tied to the long-term needs of their patients. This is not about a one-time fix, but about creating a continuous relationship with patients, providing them with the most advanced and durable solutions throughout their lives.

The evidence for this hypothesis is interwoven throughout the transcript. First, consider the sheer volume of patients who will benefit from RESILIA technology. Edwards projects reaching a staggering half a million patients implanted with RESILIA-based heart valves by the end of 2024. This is not a small niche market; this is mainstream adoption of a technology designed for durability, setting the stage for a future where valve replacements become a recurring need.

Second, the accelerated enrollment in the MOMENTIS clinical trial, studying RESILIA performance in the mitral position, speaks volumes. By completing US and Canada enrollment a full year ahead of schedule, Edwards is demonstrating a focused urgency in building the evidence base for RESILIA in the mitral position. This is critical because, as Larry Wood, Group President of TAVR and Surgical Structural Heart, eloquently points out, TAVR and SAVR are likely hitting an inflection point where valve-in-valve procedures become increasingly commonplace.

The implication is clear: Edwards is anticipating a future where TAVR patients, many of whom will have received RESILIA-based valves, will require second, and even third, valve replacements. Their surgical business, powered by RESILIA, is strategically positioned to capitalize on this emerging need.

Third, the emphasis on 'lifetime management' throughout the transcript reveals a strategic shift in thinking. Bernard Zovighian, CEO of Edwards, clearly states that the company is not just focused on 'bringing treatment for these patients,' but is 'committed to offer treatment for these patients.' This subtle shift from singular to plural implies an ongoing commitment to their patients' evolving needs.

This strategy is not without precedent. The dental industry offers a compelling parallel. Patients, from a young age, are accustomed to regular dental checkups and procedures, ensuring long-term oral health. Edwards is aiming to replicate this model, creating a paradigm where patients, diagnosed with valvular heart disease, are integrated into a lifetime management program.

Projected Growth in RESILIA-Based Valve Replacements

This chart illustrates the potential revenue opportunity for Edwards based on the projected number of patients receiving RESILIA-based valve replacements.

What does this mean for Edwards? The potential is significant. Imagine a scenario where the half a million patients implanted with RESILIA by the end of 2024 become a recurring revenue stream. Assuming even a conservative 10% require a second valve replacement within a 10-year timeframe, that translates to 50,000 additional procedures. At an average revenue of $10,000 per valve, this represents a $500 million annual revenue opportunity - nearly double their current TMTT revenue target.

The surgical business, often overlooked in the shadow of TAVR, is quietly transforming into the engine that will power Edwards' long-term growth. By building a durable patient base and fostering a culture of lifetime management, Edwards is establishing a formidable moat and setting the stage for sustainable growth well into the future. Wall Street, focused on the immediate promise of EVOQUE and TMTT, may be missing the quiet revolution brewing in Edwards' surgical segment. This revolution, however, holds the potential to redefine the structural heart market and propel Edwards' leadership for decades to come.

"Fun Fact: Edwards Lifesciences was founded by Miles "Lowell" Edwards, a retired engineer with a passion for building artificial heart valves. His groundbreaking work in the 1950s laid the foundation for the modern field of structural heart disease treatment."