February 15, 2024 - BLZE

The Hidden Gem in Backblaze's Q1 Transcript: Is This the Spark for a Stock Explosion?

Backblaze, the plucky underdog of cloud storage, delivered a stellar Q1 2024 earnings report. Revenue surged, profitability soared, and cash usage plummeted. Analysts, predictably, lauded the company's performance. But nestled within the celebratory pronouncements of the Q1 2024 earnings call transcript lies a hidden gem, a subtle shift in strategy that could be the spark for a Backblaze stock explosion.

While the headlines focused on Backblaze's impressive financials, Gleb Budman, CEO and Co-Founder, repeatedly emphasized the company's "upmarket" movement. This seemingly innocuous phrase signals a deliberate, calculated pivot towards attracting larger, more lucrative clients. Remember, Backblaze built its reputation on a self-serve model, attracting hordes of smaller customers with its irresistible combination of simplicity and affordability. Now, they're hunting bigger game.

The implications of this strategic shift are profound. Larger clients translate into bigger contracts, stronger revenue streams, and increased stability. It's a move towards predictable, sustainable growth, something that investors crave. Budman offered tantalizing glimpses of this strategy in action, citing a "$100,000 plus" deal with an NFL team as a prime example. The team, facing an avalanche of video and data, turned to Backblaze for a solution that was both powerful and easy to use. This single deal underscores the potential of Backblaze's upmarket push.

But the shift goes beyond simply targeting larger companies. Backblaze is actively adapting its entire infrastructure to cater to their needs. Their new "Powered by Backblaze" program empowers businesses to seamlessly integrate B2 cloud storage into their product offerings, eliminating the complexities of managing their own infrastructure. It's a win-win scenario, allowing Backblaze to tap into new distribution channels and reach previously inaccessible customer segments.

And then there's the "Enterprise Control" feature, a subtle yet significant addition designed to meet the compliance requirements and management demands of larger companies. This feature, available for a modest additional fee, provides IT administrators with the tools necessary to handle hundreds or even thousands of computers. It's a clear indication that Backblaze is serious about playing in the big leagues.

The financial implications of this strategic shift are already starting to materialize. Backblaze's B2 Cloud Storage revenue skyrocketed by 47% year-over-year, driven in part by the acquisition of larger clients. The company's overall revenue growth rate, at 28%, outpaced the previous year by a significant margin.

Here's where things get even more interesting. Let's look at Backblaze's net revenue retention (NRR) for B2 Cloud Storage. It currently sits at a healthy 126%. What does this mean? It means that existing customers are not only sticking around, they're actually spending more with Backblaze over time. This "land and expand" strategy is a classic hallmark of successful SaaS companies.

The upmarket push is still in its early stages, but the signs are incredibly promising. If Backblaze can successfully execute this strategy, the potential upside for investors is enormous.

Think about it. Backblaze is entering a $50 billion market dominated by giants like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. These behemoths, however, are often perceived as complex, expensive, and even predatory. Backblaze offers a refreshing alternative: simplicity, affordability, and a commitment to an open cloud ecosystem.

Here's the hypothesis: Backblaze's upmarket movement, if successful, could trigger a significant re-rating of its stock. The market, recognizing the company's potential to capture a larger slice of the cloud storage pie, could reward Backblaze with a higher valuation multiple.

Hypothetical Growth Scenario

MetricCurrentHypothetical (5% Market Share)
Annual Revenue$108.59 Million (TTM)$2.5 Billion
Revenue Multiple3.77 (Price/Sales TTM)5x
Market Capitalization$276.6 Million$12.5 Billion

Of course, this is just a hypothetical scenario. Reaching a 5% market share will be a herculean task, requiring flawless execution and a bit of luck. But the point is this: Backblaze's upmarket movement unlocks a level of growth potential that was previously unimaginable.

Revenue Growth Trend

Backblaze has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, particularly in its B2 Cloud Storage segment. The chart below illustrates this trend based on information from the last two earnings call transcripts:

This subtle shift in strategy, tucked away in the Q1 transcript, could be the catalyst for a Backblaze stock explosion.

"The full transcript of Backblaze's Q1 2024 earnings call can be found here: https://seekingalpha.com/article/4621957-backblaze-inc-blze-q1-2024-results-conference-call-transcript"
"Fun Fact: Backblaze's CEO, Gleb Budman, once publicly challenged Amazon's CEO, Jeff Bezos, to a storage pod-building competition. Bezos, perhaps wisely, declined the invitation."