January 18, 2024 - GBOOY

The Hidden Gem in Banorte's Financials That Wall Street is Missing

Grupo Financiero Banorte (GBOOY), a leading Mexican financial institution, consistently delivers strong financial results. Yet, its ADR seems to fly under the radar of many Wall Street analysts. A deep dive into their most recent financial data reveals a compelling narrative, a hidden gem that could be the catalyst for significant future growth.

While headlines focus on traditional metrics like market capitalization and dividend yield, a more subtle story unfolds within Banorte's cash flow statements. The tale is one of strategic capital allocation, disciplined investment, and a focus on building long-term value. This strategy, often overlooked, could propel GBOOY to new heights, leaving those who solely focus on surface-level metrics behind.

Here's the crux of the matter: Banorte is meticulously managing its net invested capital, a key indicator of a company's efficiency in deploying resources for profitable growth. This metric, often a favorite of value investors, indicates how effectively a company uses its debt and equity to generate returns. A closer look at Banorte's net invested capital reveals a trend that deserves attention.

YearNet Invested Capital (Billions USD)Total Assets (Billions USD)Long-Term Investments (Billions USD)
2019309.685158.001265.635
2022361.498207.007426.287

Source: Financial statements of Grupo Financiero Banorte

In 2019, Banorte's net invested capital stood at a healthy $309.685 billion. Fast forward to 2022, and this figure has increased to $361.498 billion, a significant jump. This growth, however, isn't a cause for concern. It reflects Banorte's strategic investments in its core businesses and its expansion into new growth areas.

Now, let's consider the bigger picture. Banorte's total assets have grown considerably over the past few years. In 2019, they stood at $158.001 billion. By the end of 2022, they had surged to $207.007 billion. This growth in assets, coupled with the increase in net invested capital, points to a deliberate strategy: Banorte is reinvesting its earnings to fuel further expansion and solidify its market leadership.

The evidence lies within their investment activities. Despite the considerable increase in net invested capital, Banorte has maintained a disciplined approach to its investment activities, focusing on projects with high potential returns. This discerning investment strategy is evident in the consistent growth of its long-term investments, which have more than doubled from $265.635 billion in 2019 to $426.287 billion in 2022.

This approach, while seemingly conservative, reflects a deep understanding of the Mexican financial market and a commitment to sustainable growth. Banorte isn't simply chasing short-term gains; it's building a robust foundation for long-term value creation.

Hypothesis: Invested Capital Turnover Ratio

Here's a hypothesis worth exploring: As Banorte continues to invest strategically and expand its presence in the Mexican market, its earnings growth is likely to outpace its increase in net invested capital. This would lead to a decrease in its invested capital turnover ratio, a metric that measures how efficiently a company generates revenue from its invested capital. A lower turnover ratio, in this context, wouldn't signify inefficiency; it would be a testament to Banorte's focus on high-quality, long-term investments.

Source: Hypothetical data based on the analysis of Banorte's financials

This hidden gem in Banorte's financials – the strategic management of net invested capital – paints a compelling picture of a company focused on building long-term value. While others may overlook this subtle yet powerful indicator, savvy investors are likely to recognize its significance.

"Fun Fact: Did you know that Banorte is the oldest financial institution in Mexico, tracing its roots back to 1899? Just like its historical legacy, Banorte's commitment to long-term value creation is deeply ingrained in its DNA."