May 23, 2024 - CAAP

The Hidden Gem in CAAP's Earnings: Why Uruguay Could Be the Key to Unlocking Shareholder Value

Corporación América Airports (CAAP) delivered a solid start to 2024, exceeding passenger traffic growth and demonstrating continued operating leverage. But buried beneath the headline figures lies a story that might have escaped the keen eyes of even the most seasoned Wall Street analysts: Uruguay's outsized contribution to CAAP's overall success.

While the Q1 2024 earnings call transcript rightfully highlights Argentina's recovering international traffic and Italy's consistent growth, Uruguay's performance quietly steals the show. The country's 36% adjusted EBITDA increase stands in stark contrast to the company's overall 16.4% growth, painting a picture of a thriving segment that deserves closer examination. Could Uruguay hold the key to unlocking even greater value for CAAP shareholders?

Let's delve deeper. Uruguay's exceptional performance is attributed to robust passenger traffic growth, fueled by new routes and frequencies. But the story doesn't end there. CAAP has meticulously crafted a diversified revenue strategy in Uruguay, capitalizing on VIP lounges, duty-free sales, and strategic tariff adjustments. This multi-pronged approach has translated into a success story that's far from a one-hit wonder.

Consider this: while Uruguay's passenger traffic has surged 29% year-on-year, the country's adjusted EBITDA has outpaced this growth, clocking in at a staggering 36%. This suggests that CAAP's strategic initiatives in Uruguay are generating substantial returns, driving profitability beyond mere traffic increases.

Furthermore, the transcript reveals a sustained positive trend extending into April for Uruguay, with additional new routes set to launch in May. This continued momentum signals a sustained upward trajectory for the country's performance, further solidifying its position as a potential growth engine for CAAP.

Hypothetical Scenario: Replicating Uruguay's Success

Here's a hypothesis worth exploring: If CAAP can replicate its Uruguay strategy across other segments, particularly in markets facing headwinds like Brazil, could the company unlock even greater shareholder value?

Imagine this: if CAAP's Brazilian operations, which posted a comparable year-on-year decline of nearly 2% in passenger traffic, could achieve even half of Uruguay's 36% EBITDA growth, the impact on the company's bottom line would be significant. This potential for replicating success underscores the strategic importance of dissecting Uruguay's winning formula.

Passenger Traffic and Adjusted EBITDA Growth by Country (Q1 2024)

Source: CAAP Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

EBITDA Margin Growth: Uruguay vs. Overall Company

Beyond the numbers, Uruguay's tourism sector is experiencing a resurgence, bolstered by a favorable exchange rate and a reputation as a safe and stable destination. This positive backdrop bodes well for continued growth in passenger traffic, further fueling CAAP's success in the country.

The Key Takeaway

While Argentina and Italy remain important pillars for CAAP, Uruguay's exceptional performance shouldn't be overlooked. It offers a glimpse into the company's ability to execute a diversified revenue strategy, exceeding growth expectations and setting a potential blueprint for replicating success in other markets. Keep a close eye on Uruguay – it might just be the hidden gem that propels CAAP to new heights.

"Fun Fact: Uruguay is known as the "Switzerland of South America" due to its strong economy, stable political environment, and high quality of life."