May 14, 2024 - FTLF
FitLife Brands' recent earnings call showcased a company skillfully navigating the dynamic nutritional supplement industry. While analysts concentrated on the challenges faced by the legacy FitLife business and the company's impressive debt reduction strategy, a closer examination of the transcript unveils a hidden gem: the MusclePharm acquisition. This strategic move might be the sleeping giant that propels FitLife Brands to new heights.
CEO Dayton Judd highlighted a core strategy for FitLife Brands - acquiring strong brands with a history of poor financial performance. Nutrology, Mimi's Rock (MRC), and now MusclePharm all fall into this category. Judd's confidence in revitalizing these brands stems from FitLife Brands' robust platform and a team adept at integrating new acquisitions, fostering their growth, and optimizing overhead costs. This approach enables them to acquire brands at attractive multiples, enhance their EBITDA, and leverage a higher multiple themselves, creating a smart arbitrage opportunity.
MusclePharm, acquired from bankruptcy in October 2023, presents the most compelling case. While Q4 2023 showed minimal impact due to deal finalization, inventory acquisition, and the need to renegotiate customer agreements, Q1 2024 has witnessed MusclePharm starting to show its potential.
Judd acknowledged the challenge of regaining trust with retailers who were negatively impacted by MusclePharm's previous mismanagement. Instead of resorting to heavy discounts, FitLife Brands is strategically positioning MusclePharm with healthy margins, focusing on promotional spending only after securing shelf space. This disciplined approach, a departure from MusclePharm's past practices, demonstrates a commitment to sustainable profitability over short-term revenue gains.
Judd shared compelling data about MusclePharm's online performance, particularly on Amazon. The subscriber base skyrocketed from a mere 5 at the end of Q4 2023 to over 1,600 by the end of Q1 2024, further increasing to over 2,700 just a few weeks later. Additionally, online revenue for March 2024 is estimated to reach between $400,000 and $450,000, a significant jump from February's $330,000. These figures indicate a brand gaining rapid traction online.
The true potential of MusclePharm lies in its wholesale business. While Judd remained cautious about predicting future performance, he provided insights into the acquisition's potential. FitLife Brands invested $18.8 million to acquire MusclePharm's assets. Judd believes that with minimal effort, the baseline business can generate $3-4 million in EBITDA, resulting in a conservative acquisition multiple of 5-6 times.
The key takeaway is that MusclePharm was once a dominant brand with extensive distribution. If FitLife Brands can recapture even a portion of its former glory, the potential upside is substantial. This is the "massive call option" that Judd referred to, a potential game-changer that could significantly enhance FitLife Brands' valuation.
Let's consider a scenario where MusclePharm regains some of its lost market share:
This scenario highlights the remarkable potential of MusclePharm. While challenges exist in rebuilding trust and navigating the complexities of retail distribution, the early signs are promising. FitLife Brands' disciplined approach, coupled with MusclePharm's brand equity, suggests that the acquisition could be a significant win for shareholders, making it a hidden gem within the company's earnings report.
FitLife Brands is pursuing a strategy of acquiring underperforming but strong brands.
The MusclePharm acquisition has the potential to be a game-changer for FitLife Brands.
Early indicators show MusclePharm gaining traction both online and in wholesale.
FitLife Brands' disciplined approach and focus on profitability bode well for the future.
"The global dietary supplements market size was valued at USD 151.9 billion in 2021 and is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.9% from 2022 to 2030. This indicates a significant and growing market for FitLife Brands' products."