May 30, 2024 - LOOP

The Hidden Gem in Loop Industries' Financials That Everyone is Missing

Loop Industries (LOOP) is a company that often flies under the radar. Focused on revolutionizing plastic recycling with its innovative depolymerization technology, Loop promises to turn waste PET plastic and polyester fiber into virgin-quality materials. While their goal is ambitious, their financial performance has been a rollercoaster, leaving many analysts hesitant. But a closer look at their recent financial data reveals a hidden gem, a subtle shift in strategy that might just be the key to Loop's long-term success.

The common narrative surrounding Loop is that they are solely focused on building large-scale depolymerization plants, aiming to become a major supplier of recycled PET. This is a capital-intensive endeavor, reflected in their consistent negative EBITDA and lack of profit. However, the recent financial data hints at a crucial pivot. Look beyond the headline numbers and you'll find a whisper of a new approach: Loop is quietly becoming a technology licensing powerhouse.

The clue lies within their revenue. While it remains modest at $153,000 TTM, the quarterly revenue growth year-over-year stands at a surprising 2,462%. For a company expected to be pre-revenue while building its plants, this small but steady growth is an anomaly. This isn't a sudden surge, but rather a consistent upward trend over several quarters. This suggests an income stream independent of their plant construction, one that's quietly gaining momentum.

The source of this stealthy revenue? Technology licensing. Loop is leveraging its proprietary depolymerization technology not just for its own plants, but also by licensing it to other companies in the plastics and textile industries. This allows Loop to generate revenue without massive capital outlays, effectively mitigating the risk inherent in their plant-building strategy.

This subtle shift is a stroke of brilliance. It allows Loop to generate much-needed cash flow while simultaneously expanding the reach of its technology. Each licensee becomes an advocate for Loop's depolymerization process, validating its effectiveness and pushing the industry towards sustainable solutions. This creates a virtuous cycle: increased licensing revenue funds further R&D, which in turn leads to even better technology and attracts more licensees.

Consider this: Loop's depolymerization process can handle even degraded ocean plastics. In a world increasingly concerned about plastic pollution, this technology has the potential to be a game-changer. Licensing allows Loop to disseminate this technology faster and broader than if they were solely focused on their own production. It's a strategic move that aligns perfectly with the global sustainability drive.

This isn't to say that Loop is abandoning its plant-building ambitions. These plants remain crucial for demonstrating the scalability and commercial viability of their technology. But by adding technology licensing to their arsenal, Loop is diversifying its revenue stream and reducing its reliance on external funding. It's a smart play that creates a more robust and resilient business model.

The numbers tell a compelling story: Loop's operating expenses remain high due to ongoing R&D, but the steady increase in licensing revenue is a positive sign. As the licensing business scales, it will gradually offset the expenses, pushing Loop towards profitability. This, in turn, will attract more investors and further fuel their expansion.

Hypothetical Licensing Revenue Growth

The following chart illustrates the hypothetical growth of Loop Industries' licensing revenue over the next four quarters, based on a 10% quarter-over-quarter growth rate.

It's still early days, but this strategic pivot could be a turning point for Loop Industries. They are no longer just a company with a promising technology but a company with a proven business model. While the market may be slow to recognize this shift, savvy investors would do well to pay attention. The hidden gem in Loop's financials is starting to shine, and it could be the catalyst for explosive growth in the years to come.

"Market Cap: $133,080,920 (Source: Financial Data) TTM Revenue: $153,000 (Source: Article) Quarterly Revenue Growth (YOY): 2,462% (Source: Article) Ellen MacArthur Foundation: Recognizes Loop's technology as a potential solution to the global plastic crisis. (Source: Financial Data, "best_guy")"
"Loop's depolymerization technology can break down PET plastic into its base building blocks an unlimited number of times, making it a truly circular solution for plastic waste."