May 4, 2024 - NREF

The Hidden Gem in NexPoint's Transcript: A Bet on Life Sciences Amidst Residential Turmoil

While headlines scream about the looming distress in the multifamily market, a quiet revolution is brewing within NexPoint Real Estate Finance (NREF). Tucked away in their recent <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/NREF" alt="NREF">Q1 2024 earnings call transcript</a> is a strategic shift that has largely gone unnoticed: a significant bet on the life sciences sector, potentially signaling a move beyond their traditional residential focus.

The evidence is compelling. NexPoint closed on a massive $218 million life science loan in January, a construction loan with attractive pricing (SOFR + 900) and a low 27% attachment point. This single loan, as Paul Richards, VP of Originations, highlighted, will require $200 million in fundings over the next 12 months, representing a substantial portion of NexPoint's deployment capacity.

What makes this even more intriguing is the method of funding. NexPoint is leveraging its newly launched Series B 9% deferred equity offering, which has already raised $30 million. As Matt McGraner, Executive VP and CIO, explained, this strategy will provide maximum accretion to shareholders by matching the Series B proceeds with the life science loan draws.

This isn't just a one-off opportunistic play. NexPoint is actively seeking additional life science opportunities, particularly in the Contract Development and Manufacturing Organization (CDMO) space. They see a "strong secular tailwind" in this sector due to near-shoring and re-shoring trends, suggesting a long-term commitment to the industry.

Connecting the Dots: NexPoint's Strategic Shift

Now, let's connect the dots. NexPoint's investment pipeline currently stands at over $250 million, with a focus on "special situation opportunities" in both residential and life sciences. While the repayment of a large SFR loan provided $509 million in principal, redeploying this capital solely into their existing pipeline would leave a significant gap. This strongly suggests that NexPoint anticipates closing more large life science deals, potentially pushing their exposure to the sector well beyond the current 5.2%.

Further fueling this hypothesis is NexPoint's low leverage position. The SFR loan repayment has brought their leverage down to under 2 times, the lowest among commercial mortgage REITs. This provides ample capacity for re-leveraging the balance sheet, particularly if they identify more accretive life science investments.

The Numbers Tell the Story

Here's where the numbers get really interesting. Assuming NexPoint maintains a constant $20 million per month Series B raise and deploys all proceeds into the existing life science loan, they would still have roughly $270 million in capital to deploy by year-end. Considering their stated goal of growing CAD by 15% to 20% in the next 12 months, a significant portion of this capital needs to be allocated to investments yielding at least mid-teens returns. This aligns perfectly with their stated pipeline of special situation opportunities in both residential and life sciences.

NexPoint's Investment Allocation

Reference: <a href="https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/NREF" alt="NREF">NREF Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript</a>

Projected Capital Deployment

A Calculated Maneuver

NexPoint's move into life sciences is a bold yet calculated maneuver. While they acknowledge the near-term challenges in the multifamily market, they are positioning themselves to capitalize on the long-term growth potential of life sciences. This subtle shift, buried beneath the surface of their transcript, could prove to be a game-changer for NexPoint and its investors.

"Fun Fact: Did you know NexPoint's parent company, Highland Capital Management, has a history of successfully navigating complex credit markets? Their experience in distressed debt and structured finance could prove invaluable as NexPoint delves deeper into the specialized world of life science financing."