February 6, 2024 - NJR

The Hidden Gem in NJR's Transcript: Is This the Next Green Energy Powerhouse?

New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR), a familiar name in the energy sector, recently released its Q2 2024 earnings transcript. While the headline numbers were solid, with a strong performance and reaffirmed guidance, there's a hidden gem buried within the text that seems to have escaped the attention of most analysts. This hidden gem? The quiet, yet undeniable, transformation of NJR into a green energy powerhouse.

At first glance, NJR might seem like a traditional energy company, with its roots firmly planted in natural gas distribution. After all, their utility business, New Jersey Natural Gas, still makes up the lion's share of their expected earnings for fiscal year 2024. But a deeper dive into the transcript reveals a strategic shift towards a cleaner, more sustainable future.

NJR's commitment to green energy is most evident in the explosive growth of their Clean Energy Ventures (CEV) segment. They've been quietly, but aggressively, adding new solar capacity, with an impressive 34 megawatts under construction this fiscal year alone. This adds to the 5 megawatts already brought online, highlighting the accelerating pace of their green energy expansion.

What's even more intriguing is the rapidly expanding CEV project pipeline, which now boasts over 870 megawatts of potential investment options. This pipeline provides NJR with a significant runway for continued growth in the solar sector, ensuring a steady stream of future earnings from renewable sources. Furthermore, NJR's strategic decision to diversify their solar portfolio geographically, with 51% of their pipeline now located outside of New Jersey, demonstrates a keen understanding of market dynamics and a commitment to mitigating regulatory risks.

But the green energy story doesn't end there. NJR's commitment to sustainability extends to their core utility business as well. They've been investing heavily in energy efficiency programs, such as SAVEGREEN, aimed at helping their customers lower their energy usage and reduce their carbon footprint. Their recent filing for a new, even larger, SAVEGREEN program, to the tune of $482 million, represents the largest energy efficiency filing in their history, further solidifying their commitment to a sustainable future.

NJR's Capital Allocation: A Shift Towards Sustainability

To put this into perspective, let's look at some numbers. NJR has invested $211 million in New Jersey Natural Gas in fiscal 2024, with a significant 45% dedicated to projects that provide near real-time returns. This includes energy efficiency initiatives, highlighting a shift towards revenue generation through sustainability rather than solely relying on traditional gas distribution.

Here's the hypothesis: NJR's strategic focus on green energy and sustainability is not simply a response to regulatory pressures or a passing trend. It's a calculated move to position themselves as a leader in the rapidly growing renewable energy sector. While their utility business remains a core component of their earnings, the rapid expansion of CEV and their investment in energy efficiency programs suggest a long-term strategy to diversify their earnings base and secure a larger slice of the future energy pie.

NJR's commitment to innovation, as evidenced by their sustainability report and pilot projects like carbon capture technology, further strengthens this hypothesis. They are actively exploring new technologies and partnerships to drive down the cost of green energy and develop innovative solutions for a cleaner future.

The evidence points towards a future where NJR's earnings will be increasingly driven by green energy and sustainability. This potential transformation, cleverly disguised within the lines of their recent transcript, presents a compelling investment opportunity for those who can read between the lines and recognize the green wave quietly building within this seemingly traditional energy company.

"Fun Fact: NJR's pilot carbon capture project at their headquarters is not just about reducing emissions. It's also about gathering valuable data to potentially scale up this technology and contribute to wider decarbonization efforts in the industry."