February 28, 2024 - SNN

The Hidden Gem in Smith & Nephew's Q4 Earnings: Robotics Reign Supreme, But Will the Kingdom Crumble?

While analysts dissect Smith & Nephew's Q4 2023 earnings, focusing on the persistent challenges in U.S. Recon and the looming specter of China VBP in Sports Medicine, a crucial detail emerges from the transcript, whispering a tale of potential disruption and future dominance: the remarkable ascent of CORI, Smith & Nephew's robotic surgery system.

While U.S. Recon struggles to find its footing, hampered by supply chain woes and sales rep turnover, CORI quietly marches forward, its trajectory reminiscent of a cunning general amassing troops and securing strategic footholds before unleashing a decisive offensive. The transcript reveals a compelling narrative of CORI's growing influence, hinting at a future where robotic surgery could reshape the very landscape of orthopedic procedures.

Deepak Nath, CEO of Smith & Nephew, acknowledges the U.S. Recon shortfall, attributing it to a confluence of factors: delayed set deployments, OXINIUM supply challenges, and sales rep turnover as a result of incentive changes. However, he also highlights a positive trend: "Sub-segments representing around 60% of Orthopaedics sales are now growing at or above the peer average based on the second half of the year. Much of that is attributable to the 12-Point Plan."

Within this burgeoning growth, CORI plays a pivotal role. Nath reveals, "CORI placements and utilization have inflected upwards… We're starting to recover the share that we had lost in EMEA recon, supported by better implant availability." The transcript paints a vivid picture of CORI's rising prominence, with Anne-Francoise Nesmes, CFO, adding, "Full-year installations came in a little behind our target, mainly from a delayed ramp-up in the slower China capital environment, but the broad adoption picture is very positive and running ahead of our Recon share position."

Here's where the astute observer notices a subtle yet powerful shift. Despite falling short of the 300 unit placement target for 2023, CORI's performance is anything but lackluster. The company achieved a utilization rate of 25%, indicating that the systems placed are actively being used in procedures. This focus on utilization, rather than simply pushing for placements, underscores a strategic approach geared towards long-term market penetration.

Furthermore, CORI's appeal extends beyond niche markets, gaining traction across diverse healthcare settings, from Ambulatory Surgery Centers (ASCs) to prestigious academic medical centers. Nesmes notes, "We’re bringing CORI to the full range of surgical settings… We see customers committing in scale with around one-third of our new installations in the U.S. coming as part of multimillion unit deals." This widespread adoption points to a fundamental shift in surgeon preferences and a growing recognition of CORI's versatility.

The transcript further reveals the impressive scale of CORI's existing footprint, with Nath stating, "We are up to nearly 800 units, robotic placements, for us, which is pretty good." This figure, coupled with the consistent growth in utilization and the broader adoption across diverse healthcare settings, presents a compelling case for CORI's potential to disrupt the current orthopedic market.

The Hypothesis: Will CORI's Ascendancy Disrupt the Orthopedic Market?

The evidence points to a future where robotic surgery becomes a dominant force in orthopedics. Smith & Nephew's strategy, emphasizing utilization and broad market penetration, positions CORI for sustained growth. The key question becomes: can CORI leverage its current momentum to capture a significant share of the U.S. Recon market, offsetting the challenges in traditional knee and hip implants?

CORI Performance: A Glimpse into the Future

Reference: Smith & Nephew Q4 2023 Earnings Call Transcript

The transcript provides a glimpse into a potential future where robotics reshape the orthopedics landscape. While the full story remains to be written, one thing is clear: CORI's rise is a force to be reckoned with, and its impact on the future of orthopedic surgery cannot be ignored.

"Key Takeaways"

800 units: CORI's existing installed base, highlighting its substantial market presence. 25% utilization rate: Demonstrating active use of the system in procedures, indicating a shift in surgeon preferences. 1/3 multimillion unit deals: Highlighting CORI's appeal to large healthcare institutions, indicative of scale and commitment.

"Fun Fact: Robotic surgery is not just for humans! Veterinarians are increasingly using robotic systems to perform complex procedures on animals, offering enhanced precision and minimal invasiveness."