May 9, 2024 - TU

The Hidden Gem in TELUS' Earnings Call: Why Zainul Mawji is the Secret Weapon for Future Growth

Wall Street analysts might be obsessed with traditional metrics like ARPU, but a careful reading of TELUS' recent earnings call reveals a fascinating shift in focus, one that could propel the company to even greater heights. The key? Zainul Mawji, President of Consumer Solutions, and his emphasis on "household AMPU" and "customer lifetime value." While these might sound like just another set of buzzwords, they represent a profound understanding of the changing dynamics of the telecom industry and a strategic pivot towards long-term, sustainable value creation.

The telecom landscape is increasingly defined by a fierce battle for customer acquisition and retention. Traditional metrics like ARPU (average revenue per user) can be misleading, often masking the true profitability of customer segments. Mawji recognizes this, stating that "ARPU as a metric is not a driver of how we're managing the business." Instead, TELUS is adopting a more holistic approach, focusing on the total value generated by a customer over their entire relationship with the company.

This shift is reflected in Mawji's laser focus on two key concepts: "household AMPU" (average margin per user across mobile and home services) and "customer lifetime value." This represents a departure from simply acquiring users to a focus on maximizing the profitability of each customer relationship. By bundling attractive services like streaming, internet, and home automation, TELUS aims to capture a larger share of customer spending and reduce churn.

The significance of this strategic move cannot be overstated. It signals a deep understanding of the evolving needs and preferences of customers, who are increasingly seeking integrated, multi-product solutions that simplify their lives and offer greater value. By building a robust ecosystem of services, TELUS is positioning itself to become an essential partner for its customers, driving engagement and loyalty in the process.

Mawji's commitment to "customer lifetime value" also suggests a more long-term vision for growth, one that prioritizes sustainable value creation over short-term gains. This approach is particularly relevant in today's competitive landscape, where companies are often tempted to engage in unsustainable price wars that erode profitability. By focusing on customer retention and maximizing the value of existing relationships, TELUS is building a more resilient business model that can weather short-term market fluctuations.

Mawji's vision is not just a matter of strategic rhetoric. He cites concrete examples, such as the impressive 3.21 product intensity for PureFibre households, demonstrating that TELUS is already translating this vision into tangible results. The company's commitment to digital innovation, particularly its strategic partnership with TELUS International, is further fueling this transformation. By leveraging TI's digital expertise and AI capabilities, TELUS is enhancing its ability to deliver seamless, personalized experiences that drive customer satisfaction and loyalty.

Hypothesis: Foundation for Superior Long-Term Performance

By focusing on "household AMPU" and "customer lifetime value," TELUS is laying the foundation for superior long-term performance. This strategic shift will likely manifest in:

Increased product intensity: We can expect to see TELUS continue to expand its bundled offerings, adding new services and features that enhance the value proposition for customers.

Improved retention rates: By focusing on customer satisfaction and offering greater value, TELUS is likely to achieve lower churn rates, leading to more stable and predictable revenue streams.

Higher profitability: By maximizing the value of each customer relationship, TELUS is poised to achieve higher margins and stronger cash flow generation, ultimately driving greater shareholder value.

TELUS Customer Growth

TELUS is experiencing record customer growth, as shown in the table below. This growth is fueled by the company's superior bundled offerings and customer-centric culture.

Quarter Total Customer Net Additions Year-over-Year Change Q4 2023 404,000 34% Q1 2024 209,000 28%

Emerging Trend: Connected Devices

TELUS is seeing strong growth in connected device net additions, driven by 5G and IoT solutions. This is an emerging trend that is expected to become an increasingly significant contributor to the company's revenue and profitability. The chart below illustrates this trend.

The numbers tell a story: TELUS' mobile phone lifetime revenue consistently exceeds its national peers by a considerable margin, reflecting its success in attracting and retaining high-quality customers. This success is a testament to the company's customer-centric culture and the strength of its broadband networks. As TELUS continues to invest in these areas, we can expect to see even greater differentiation and market leadership in the years to come.

Beyond these financial metrics, TELUS is also building a strong reputation for social responsibility, with its employees and retirees contributing a remarkable 1.5 million volunteer hours last year. This commitment to social good is not only commendable but also a savvy business strategy, strengthening the TELUS brand and building goodwill with customers.

In conclusion, while the telecom market remains intensely competitive, TELUS is charting a course for sustainable success by focusing on the long-term value of its customer relationships. Mawji's vision for "household AMPU" and "customer lifetime value" represents a profound shift in strategic thinking, one that could unlock significant growth and profitability in the years to come. Analysts focused on short-term ARPU fluctuations might be missing the bigger picture: TELUS is building a robust ecosystem of services and a customer-centric culture that is poised to deliver lasting value for both customers and shareholders.

"Fun Fact: TELUS has been recognized as Canada's most awarded network by OpenSignal for 6 consecutive years, highlighting its commitment to network excellence. Additionally, TELUS employees and retirees have contributed a staggering 2.2 million days of giving to global communities since 2000—more than any other company worldwide."