August 29, 2023 - NNGPF

The Hidden Gem of the Hague: Why NN Group's Quiet Transformation Could Spell Explosive Growth

NN Group, the Dutch financial services giant, often flies under the radar of American investors. Trading on the pink sheets under the ticker NNGPF, it doesn't command the same attention as its American counterparts. Yet, a closer examination of the company's recent performance and financial data reveals a quiet but powerful transformation, one that suggests NN Group may be poised for a period of explosive growth.

While headlines have focused on the company's recent quarterly revenue decline of -0.833% [1], a deeper dive into the numbers unveils a much more compelling story. NN Group is strategically streamlining its operations, shedding non-core assets, and optimizing its core insurance and banking businesses. This is not a story of decline, but one of calculated repositioning for future dominance.

Consider the company's strategic reduction in outstanding shares. Over the past decade, NN Group has steadily decreased its outstanding shares, from a peak of 586.8 million in 2013 to a current 272.1 million [2]. This signifies a strong commitment to shareholder value, concentrating earnings power among a smaller pool of shares and ultimately boosting earnings per share.

Furthermore, NN Group's commitment to shareholder returns is evident in its consistent dividend payouts. The company boasts a forward annual dividend yield of 7.85% [3], a figure significantly higher than the industry average. This demonstrates not only financial stability but also a conscious effort to reward investors.

What's particularly striking is NN Group's focus on strengthening its core businesses. Despite the recent revenue dip, the company's gross profit margin remains strong, hovering around 30% [4]. This indicates a healthy core operation capable of generating substantial profits.

Hypothesis: NN Group's strategic streamlining, share buybacks, and focus on core profitability will lead to a significant uptick in earnings per share within the next 12-18 months, potentially triggering a re-rating of the stock by analysts and investors.

Here's why this hypothesis holds weight:

Reduced Shares, Amplified Earnings: With fewer shares outstanding, future earnings will be distributed among a smaller pool, driving a significant increase in earnings per share.

Core Strength, Future Growth: NN Group's healthy gross profit margin underscores the strength of its core businesses, providing a solid foundation for future growth.

Attractive Dividend, Investor Magnet: The high dividend yield will likely attract income-seeking investors, potentially boosting demand for the stock and increasing its valuation.

Hidden Gem, Undervalued Asset: As a relatively unknown entity on the American market, NN Group's current valuation may not fully reflect its underlying potential. As analysts and investors discover this "hidden gem," a re-rating is likely.

The picture emerging is not one of a company struggling against the tide, but rather one strategically positioning itself for a wave of growth. NN Group's dedication to shareholder value, consistent dividends, and focus on core profitability present a compelling case for long-term investors seeking undervalued opportunities. The quiet transformation taking place in the Hague may soon be echoing across Wall Street.

"Fun Fact: NN Group's history stretches back to 1845 [5], making it older than some of the most established American insurance companies. This longevity speaks to the company's resilience and adaptability, traits that are crucial in the ever-evolving financial landscape."