May 7, 2024 - MASI

The Hidden Key to Masimo's Future: Forget Drivers, Look to the Ears

The investment world buzzed after Masimo's recent Q1 2024 earnings call. Analysts dissected the driver shipment figures, worried about the drop to 50,000 units. They focused on the Malaysia manufacturing transition, eagerly anticipating the promised gross margin boost. But they're missing the forest for the trees, fixated on the traditional metrics while overlooking a subtle but powerful shift in Masimo's strategy.

Forget the drivers, forget the sensors. The real story, the one whispering beneath the surface of this transcript, is the ascent of **hearables**. This seemingly unassuming category, encompassing headphones and hearing aids, holds the key to unlocking Masimo's long-term growth and fulfilling Joe Kiani's ambitious "hospital-to-home" vision.

Let's rewind to 2023. Masimo's hearables category saw a staggering 115% growth, driven by strategic investments and innovative product launches like the Denon PerL earbuds with AAT (Adaptive Acoustic Technology). This technology, born from Masimo's signal processing prowess, personalizes the sound experience for individual hearing profiles, offering a level of audio customization never before seen.

But this is just the tip of the iceberg. Masimo's hearables revenue for 2023 reached $90 million, representing a 90% surge over the previous year. This already puts hearables at over 10% of Masimo's non-healthcare segment revenue, and the category is just getting started.

Micah Young, Masimo's CFO, predicts at least 50% growth for hearables in 2024. This means the category could reach $135 million in revenue this year alone. Consider the implications: while analysts fret about driver declines and project single-digit growth for the overall non-healthcare segment, hearables are quietly poised for explosive, triple-digit expansion.

Hearables Revenue Growth

The following table showcases the projected growth of Masimo's hearables business:

This growth isn't just about selling more headphones. It's about establishing a beachhead in the massive $35 billion hearing aid market. Joe Kiani confirmed the upcoming launch of the "H1," a revolutionary hearing aid expected to hit the market this year. Priced around $1,500, the H1 will leverage Masimo's signal processing expertise and Sound United's audio engineering talent to potentially disrupt the industry with a combination of advanced technology and accessibility.

Here's where the "hospital-to-home" vision clicks into focus. Masimo isn't just building better headphones and hearing aids; it's creating a connected ecosystem of wearable devices that extend healthcare beyond the hospital walls. Imagine a future where your hearables, equipped with Masimo's sensor technology, monitor your vital signs and seamlessly relay data to your physician. Imagine early detection of health issues, personalized audio therapy, and a level of continuous care previously unimaginable.

This is the future Masimo is building, and hearables are the linchpin. While drivers and sensors remain important, they represent the present, not the future. The $90 million hearables business of today is a seed that, if nurtured correctly, could blossom into a multi-billion dollar empire, eclipsing the traditional metrics that currently dominate investor attention.

Hypothetical Projections for Masimo Hearables

Here's the hypothesis, backed by numbers:

The astute investor should take note. The next time you see analysts dissecting driver shipments, remember to listen for the quiet hum of innovation coming from Masimo's hearables. It's a sound that could resonate loudly in your portfolio in the years to come.

"Fun Fact: The global hearables market is expected to reach $94.8 billion by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 14.9%. This explosive growth is fueled by rising consumer demand for wireless audio devices and the increasing integration of health monitoring features into hearables."