May 1, 2024 - QUAD

The Hidden Postal Code: How Quad/Graphics' Secret Weapon Could Reshape the $1.9 Trillion Mailing Industry

Quad/Graphics, the printing giant grappling with postal rate hikes and a shrinking print market, might have just unveiled a secret weapon. Buried within their Q1 2024 earnings call transcript lies a subtle hint at a potential revolution in the way we think about direct mail: Household Fusion.

While most analysts focused on the company's foray into retail media networks, a flashy new space with the potential for significant revenue growth, a more profound transformation might be brewing in their core print business. Household Fusion, a program combining marketing mail from different brands into a single package delivered to one address, offers the promise of significant postal savings for clients.

Quad/Graphics is framing Household Fusion as a tool to combat the ongoing postal rate increases that are squeezing their clients' budgets. They estimate that this innovative approach could generate savings of 10% to 20% on postage costs. But the real impact might be far more profound.

Imagine a world where, instead of receiving a deluge of individual mail pieces, consumers receive a single, consolidated package containing marketing material from various brands. This not only reduces clutter and waste, but fundamentally alters the direct mail landscape, creating a more efficient and targeted delivery system.

Here's where the numbers get fascinating. In 2023, the US Postal Service saw a staggering decline of 11 billion pieces of mail, primarily due to postal rate hikes. If Household Fusion truly captures a significant portion of the market, it could reverse this trend, revitalizing the $1.9 trillion mailing industry.

This isn't just about cost savings. It's about creating a new paradigm for direct mail, one that leverages Quad/Graphics' existing infrastructure and expertise in co-mailing to create a more sustainable and effective delivery ecosystem.

The potential impact on Quad/Graphics' bottom line is significant. If they can successfully scale Household Fusion, they could offset the revenue declines from shrinking print volumes, boosting profitability and solidifying their position as a leader in the industry.

"The company's leadership is clearly aware of the opportunity. They are aggressively advocating for postal reform, working with Congress and industry partners to find solutions to the "crisis" of postal rate hikes. Household Fusion is a key part of this strategy, demonstrating Quad/Graphics' commitment to innovation and their willingness to challenge the status quo."

Projected Adjusted EBITDA and Margin Growth

This chart, taken from Quad/Graphic's Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript, showcases their projected adjusted EBITDA and margin for the fiscal year 2024.

The potential for Household Fusion to reshape the mailing industry is immense. It could be a game-changer for both Quad/Graphics and the broader mailing ecosystem, offering a sustainable solution to a growing problem. While the company's entry into retail media networks might grab the headlines, it's Household Fusion that could ultimately rewrite the future of direct mail.

"Fun Fact: Quad/Graphics was founded in 1971 by Harry Quadracci, a printing industry visionary known for his unconventional and innovative approach. He would likely be thrilled to see his company pushing the boundaries of direct mail with Household Fusion."