May 8, 2024 - SMEGF

The Hidden Treasure Buried in Siemens Energy's Latest Transcript: Why This German Giant Might Be About to Explode

Siemens Energy, the German industrial powerhouse known for its sprawling operations in everything from power generation to renewable energy, released its Q2 2024 earnings transcript earlier this month. The market reacted positively, with the company raising its full-year guidance on several key performance indicators. But amidst the flurry of analyst reports and financial projections, a subtle shift in Siemens Energy's strategic narrative might have slipped under the radar. It’s a shift that could have profound implications for the company's future trajectory and its position within the rapidly evolving energy landscape.

The transcript reveals a subtle yet powerful shift in focus, one that moves beyond simply "fixing the wind business" (a phrase repeated in both the Q1 and Q2 transcripts) and into a realm of calculated confidence and strategic repositioning. It's not just about damage control anymore; it's about shaping a new narrative, one where Siemens Gamesa, the often-troubled wind energy subsidiary, becomes a vital component of a long-term, multi-pronged approach to energy dominance.

What's particularly intriguing is the change in language used to describe the wind business. In Q1, the focus was on "stabilizing and fixing the wind business," emphasizing the need for damage control. By Q2, the narrative evolves to highlight "the value of our wind business" and a "long-term strategic forward-looking plan." This signifies a shift from a reactive, problem-solving stance to a proactive, opportunity-driven approach.

The transcript also reveals a more focused, strategic approach to the onshore wind market. While acknowledging the challenges of rebuilding the onshore backlog, Siemens Energy outlines a deliberate plan for re-entry. This plan revolves around a "heavily reduced number of variants" for both the 4.X and 5.X platforms, a focus on "selected regions" with "stable regulatory frameworks and attractive profit pools," and a "value-based customer landscape."

This calculated re-entry into the onshore wind market suggests a calculated risk, a move away from chasing volume and towards prioritizing profitability. This aligns with the broader trend we see across Siemens Energy's operations: a focus on margin improvement and sustainable growth. The company isn't just looking to survive the energy transition; it's aiming to thrive within it.

Adding further fuel to this hypothesis is the accelerated integration of Siemens Gamesa into the Siemens Energy fold. While initially slated for completion in a year and a half, the integration of major central functions will commence by June 1st, 2024. This signals a deeper commitment to leveraging synergies, streamlining operations, and fostering a unified strategic vision.

This accelerated integration, coupled with Jochen Eickholt's (CEO of Siemens Gamesa) earlier-than-planned departure, might seem counterintuitive at first glance. However, it could actually be a stroke of strategic genius. By bringing in Vinod Philip, a seasoned Siemens Energy executive with a strong background in service operations, strategy, and central function integration, the company is signaling its intention to leverage Siemens Gamesa's potential within the broader Siemens Energy ecosystem.

Financial Performance: A Turnaround in the Making?

The numbers tell a similar story. The company's order backlog has reached a record €119 billion, driven by strong demand for both gas turbines and grid technologies. This robust backlog, coupled with an improving order backlog margin, underpins Siemens Energy's confidence in its future profitability.

Furthermore, the company's divestment program is exceeding expectations, generating substantial cash inflows and further bolstering its balance sheet. This strong financial foundation provides the necessary firepower for Siemens Energy to execute its long-term strategic plan, including the capacity expansions needed to support its rapidly growing grid technologies business.

Charting a New Course: Siemens Gamesa's Potential

While the quality issues at Siemens Gamesa continue to cast a shadow, the company's proactive approach, strategic repositioning, and strong financial foundation paint a compelling picture of a company poised for a significant turnaround. Siemens Energy is not just reacting to the energy transition; it's actively shaping it. And as the world increasingly embraces renewable energy solutions, Siemens Gamesa, far from being a liability, could become a hidden treasure, a crucial driver of growth and profitability for Siemens Energy in the years to come.

This hypothesis, however, hinges on the successful execution of the company's long-term strategic plan. Siemens Energy needs to deliver on its commitment to profitability, effectively manage the integration of Siemens Gamesa, and continue to navigate the complex and evolving dynamics of the global energy market. The road ahead is undoubtedly challenging, but the potential rewards are significant. If Siemens Energy can pull this off, the German giant might be about to explode onto the global energy stage, not just as a survivor, but as a leader.

"Fun Fact: Siemens, the parent company of Siemens Energy, installed the world's first electric street lighting system in 1882 in Godalming, England, marking the beginning of a long and illustrious history of innovation in the energy sector."