May 28, 2024 - FUTU

The Hidden Treasure in Futu Holdings' Financials That Wall Street Missed

Analysts are buzzing about Futu Holdings Ltd., the Hong Kong-based online brokerage darling. They're praising its impressive growth trajectory, its innovative digital platforms like Futubull and Moomoo, and its expanding user base. But while everyone's focused on the shiny, attention-grabbing metrics, a hidden story is unfolding in Futu's financials – a story that could signal an even brighter future for the company.

The overlooked detail? Futu's meticulous inventory management. Wait, what? Inventory management for a digital brokerage? It sounds strange, but remember, Futu isn't just a traditional brokerage. It also offers a wealth management platform, Money Plus, which provides access to diverse investment products like mutual funds, private funds, bonds, and even structured products. It's in this segment that 'inventory' takes on a unique meaning for Futu.

Think of Futu's Money Plus platform as a digital marketplace for investment products. The 'inventory' listed on their balance sheet reflects the financial instruments available to clients through this platform. And here's where things get fascinating. While most analysts are busy dissecting revenue growth and user acquisition, Futu's inventory figures whisper a tale of strategic expansion and potential market dominance.

Decoding Futu's "Inventory"

QuarterInventory (HKD)
Q1 2023-105,455,000
Q2 2023-98,965,000

Source: Futu Holdings Ltd. Financial Statements

At first glance, negative inventory might seem perplexing. But in Futu's case, it's not a cause for alarm. Instead, it's a calculated strategy. The negative figure suggests Futu is actively managing its Money Plus product portfolio, potentially shifting towards offerings with higher margins and greater client demand.

This hypothesis is supported by Futu's simultaneous increase in 'short-term investments' on their balance sheet:

QuarterShort-Term Investments (HKD)
Q1 2023935,485,000
Q2 20231,689,124,000

Source: Futu Holdings Ltd. Financial Statements

This shift could indicate a strategic allocation of capital, moving away from less profitable investment products towards higher-yielding assets.

The Surge in Deferred Revenue

Furthermore, Futu's 'current deferred revenue' experienced a dramatic jump:

QuarterDeferred Revenue (HKD)
Q1 20233,998,000
Q3 20231,949,340,000

Source: Futu Holdings Ltd. Financial Statements

This surge indicates a significant increase in pre-paid subscriptions or fees for Money Plus services, suggesting a growing base of committed customers who are eager to access Futu's curated investment offerings.

A Shift Towards Premium Services

Wall Street is fixated on user numbers, but Futu is playing a more nuanced game. They're not just accumulating users, they're cultivating a sophisticated ecosystem where clients are increasingly engaging with Money Plus's higher-value services. This strategic shift towards a premium product mix could translate into a substantial and sustainable revenue boost in the coming quarters.

Consider this: Futu's founder and CEO, Leaf Li, is a former Tencent executive. He brings a deep understanding of online ecosystems and monetization strategies. It's plausible that Futu is applying similar principles to Money Plus, leveraging its growing user base to optimize its product portfolio and maximize its revenue potential.

"Fun Fact: Did you know Futu's online community, NiuNiu Community, boasts over 19 million registered users? It's a vibrant platform where investors share insights, ask questions, and even participate in simulated trading competitions. This community fosters a strong sense of loyalty and engagement, further contributing to Futu's ecosystem and brand strength."

Conclusion: Beyond Wall Street's Predictions

While the market focuses on obvious growth metrics, Futu is subtly transforming its business model. The negative inventory, the surge in deferred revenue, and the shift towards short-term investments all point towards a strategic emphasis on high-margin, premium services within Money Plus. This shrewd approach, combined with Leaf Li's expertise in online ecosystems, could propel Futu Holdings Ltd. towards a level of success that surpasses even the most optimistic Wall Street predictions.