April 30, 2024 - IMYSF
Imerys, the French multinational known for its mineral-based specialty solutions, has always been a bit of a quiet giant. They churn out essential ingredients for everything from paints to paper, quietly powering industries worldwide. But something's afoot. Amidst talk of recovering markets and lithium dreams, whispers of a 'superior product' have begun to echo through Imerys' earnings calls – whispers that hint at a potential windfall in the red-hot semiconductor market.
The source of this intrigue? The Quartz Corporation (TQC), a joint venture between Imerys and Norsk Mineral (Norsk Mineral). While Imerys traditionally focuses on its consolidated EBITDA, TQC's performance has been relegated to the footnotes, reported only as dividend income. But those dividends tell a story – a story of explosive growth.
In 2021, TQC contributed a modest €7 million to Imerys' net income. Fast forward to 2023, and that figure has skyrocketed to a staggering €80 million. The dividend income received by Imerys, representing only a portion of TQC's total earnings, jumped from zero to €48.5 million in that same period. Clearly, something remarkable is happening within this seemingly innocuous joint venture.
Imerys, understandably tight-lipped about detailed financials for the venture, attributes TQC's success to its 'superior product' – high-purity quartz. This material, sourced from a unique mine in the U.S. and refined using proprietary technology, is a critical component in the manufacturing of semiconductors, solar panels, and optical fibers.
Here's where things get interesting. As demand for these technologies explodes, driven by trends like artificial intelligence, renewable energy, and global internet connectivity, the value of TQC's high-purity quartz has soared. Imerys' CEO Alessandro Dazza, in a recent earnings call, hinted at the material's strategic importance, noting, 'Carbon black in a lithium-ion battery is probably 1% of the cost. But if it’s not good, you can throw away your battery.' This analogy, while seemingly unrelated, underscores the crucial role TQC's high-purity quartz plays in high-value industries.
Analysts, focused on Imerys' consolidated performance, have largely overlooked this burgeoning semiconductor goldmine. But the numbers don't lie. If TQC's contribution to Imerys' net income grew more than tenfold in just two years, imagine the potential upside as the semiconductor market continues its relentless expansion.
The following table and chart illustrate TQC's explosive growth and its potential impact on Imerys' future earnings.
Year | TQC Net Income (Estimated) | Imerys' Share (50%) |
---|---|---|
2021 | €14 Million | €7 Million |
2022 | €36 Million | €18 Million |
2023 | €160 Million | €80 Million |
2024 (Projected) | €240 Million | €120 Million |
This is a conservative estimate. Some industry experts, observing the soaring prices of high-purity quartz and the limited competition in the market, believe TQC's net income could easily exceed €300 million in 2024. If that happens, Imerys could be looking at a windfall of €150 million or more from its 'quiet giant' joint venture.
The takeaway? While everyone's distracted by Imerys' core business and its lithium ambitions, the real story might be unfolding in the footnotes. TQC, fueled by a 'superior product' and an insatiable semiconductor market, could be the key to unlocking significant hidden value for Imerys. Keep your eye on those dividends, they might be whispering secrets of a semiconductor fortune waiting to be unearthed.
"Fun Fact: Did you know that Imerys' high-purity quartz is so pure that it's used in the manufacturing of optical fibers that transmit data across the internet? The very information you're reading right now could have traveled through a cable made with Imerys' product!"