May 23, 2024 - ROST

The Ross Stores Secret Weapon: A Tsunami of Shoppers Fueled by... *Diversity*?

The off-price retail arena is a fierce battleground. Major players like Ross Stores and TJX Companies grapple for market dominance, relentlessly pursuing an advantage in a sector shaped by budget-conscious shoppers. However, concealed within Ross Stores' recent earnings call lies a strategic gem, a subtle yet powerful shift that could pave the way for remarkable growth: embracing diversity.

While the headline figures showcase a robust performance, with comparable store sales surging 3% in Q1 2024, a closer examination of CEO Barbara Rentler's remarks reveals an intriguing narrative surrounding dd's DISCOUNTS, Ross Stores' more value-centric counterpart. Rentler consistently emphasized the "improved value offerings" at dd's DISCOUNTS, attributing its stronger sales trends to this strategic adjustment.

However, the story transcends mere price modifications. Rentler unveiled a pivotal shift—a focus on personalizing dd's assortment to cater to the "different tastes and preferences of its diverse customer base," particularly in newly entered markets. This deliberate emphasis on diversity is the unsung hero of Ross Stores' potential triumph.

"Historically, dd's DISCOUNTS targeted "moderate income" shoppers. The expansion into new territories has ushered in a more diverse clientele encompassing various ethnicities and income levels. This presents a unique challenge and a monumental opportunity that Ross Stores appears to be capitalizing on with remarkable adaptability."

Rentler acknowledged the initial obstacles, noting that dd's DISCOUNTS is "in the process of updating the assortments to better address the different tastes and preferences of this diverse customer base." This signifies a deviation from the conventional "one-size-fits-all" approach prevalent in off-price retail, ushering in a more sophisticated and tailored assortment strategy.

Growth Potential of dd's DISCOUNTS

The potential benefits of this diversity-driven strategy are vast. Ross Stores currently operates 345 dd’s DISCOUNTS locations, with aspirations to reach 700. However, the true potential lies not just in store expansion but in captivating a broader spectrum of value-conscious consumers by catering to their unique needs and preferences.

This strategy mirrors the prosperous model employed by grocery giants like Kroger, which tailor their product offerings to local demographics. Imagine dd’s DISCOUNTS locations showcasing curated assortments that mirror the cultural subtleties and preferences of their local patrons. This personalized touch could spark a surge in customer traffic, foster loyalty, and ultimately, translate into significant market share gains.

The initial signs of success are already emerging. Rentler reported that dd’s DISCOUNTS sales trends were "ahead of Ross," implying that the initial assortment adjustments are resonating with the diverse customer base. However, this is an ongoing journey. Rentler stressed that dd’s DISCOUNTS will "continue to make ongoing adjustments over time to better position dd's for the future."

This cautious optimism is well-founded. Fine-tuning assortments for diverse markets is a complex endeavor, requiring profound consumer insights and a responsive supply chain. Nevertheless, the 2% to 3% comparable sales growth guidance for fiscal 2024, coupled with the accelerated performance of dd’s DISCOUNTS, suggests that the company is moving in the right direction.

The full impact of this diversity-driven approach may not be immediately apparent for several quarters as Ross Stores diligently fine-tunes its strategy. Yet, a potent undercurrent is building, a potential wave of shoppers drawn to a new off-price model—one that celebrates diversity and delivers personalized value like never before.

"Fun Facts: Store Count: Ross Stores operates over 1,700 Ross Dress for Less stores and over 300 dd's DISCOUNTS stores nationwide. Market Value: Ross Stores boasts a market capitalization exceeding $47 billion, highlighting its significant position in the retail industry. Treasure Hunt Experience: Ross Stores is known for its "treasure hunt" shopping experience, offering a wide variety of discounted name-brand merchandise, encouraging customers to explore and find hidden gems."